Commodities

Saturday, 17 June 2023

A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-BANK NIFTY —19.6.2023

 

CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open---43583.35----High----44083.25----Low---43536.95---Close---43938.15 on 16.6.2023.

Support: 43874.05/43706.15/43614.65/43598.20/43397.50/43390.30/43078.90/43044.07/43038.25/42986.45/42822.15/42740/42582.20.

Resistance:44095.25/44151.80/44220.10/43266/44340/44459.25/44498.60/44592/45525/45658.             

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

 It is still into short correction but as expected it bounced back from near the support point of 43390 today and almost recouped the entire losses it made on 15.6.2023 which is a good sign. But please note that it is still below some of its short term moving averages on the daily chart and most importantly all the four important advance technical indicators are still negative, which is very concerning and indicates that it could still witness fall in coming days. It is important to mention here that to get out of corrective mode and to put it back on the strong up momentum track it has to move above its critical points of 44151.80---44237---44282 and sustain on the closing basis. However, if it manages to holds 43658 on the closing basis then the chances of continuation of the up move will be alive, else it may start drifting down again. 

Moving down it has very strong support at 43658---43390—43109----43044---43038.25---42986.45 and it may bounce back from any of these points, please note that to keep the uptrend alive it has to sustain above the range of 43044---43038.25---42986.45 on the closing basis, else it may trigger fresh fall. Last but not the least technical indicators are pointing towards a sharp fall in the coming days as of now, which may please be noted, so one should be alert and cautious in the long trade at this point of time.

TRADING TIPS:--

1. Safe traders should avoid long trade till correction completion sign are visible or it closes above 44151.80 at least. However, aggressive traders can try long trade if it moves above 44096 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 43900 or can try long trade on decline if it holds 43658 with a stop loss of 43500. Please note that as it is in corrective mode therefore long trade could be a risky affair, so be alert and cautious.

2. As it is into short correction mode therefore short trade can also be attempted on the price rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. One can try short trade on the rise near or within the range of 44150---44240 with a stop loss of 44350 or sell if it maintains below 43530 for some time with a stop loss of 43720..

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up  then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

m for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Email—suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

 

 

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