Saturday, 16 April 2022

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR-18.4.2022—22.4.2022

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—17599.90--High—17663.65—Low—17457.40---Close-17475.65 on 13.4.2022.

Support:17452.90/17442.35/17387.15/17354.05/17326/17216/17043/17003.90/16891.70.           

Resistance: -17559/17600/17613/17639/17704/17795/17948/18018/18152/18210/18350/18604.45/18862/19402/19725/20390/20417.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

The week under review from 11.4.2020—13.4.2022 was a truncated week and it closed near the low of the week and below its first critical point of 17560 which is concerning but it is still above other critical points of 17464.75---17436.90---17387.15---17354.05, so as long as it holds these points there is a possibility that it may bounce back and the up rally may resume but it will gain strength only if it moves above 17795 & 17853 and sustain on the closing basis. Please note that moving down it has bed of supports from its long term moving averages which are in the range of 17440---16700 so there is strong possibility that it could stage a bounce back from this range but sustained break below 17354 will weaken it and break below the range of 17224—17000 could possibly end the on-going up move and finally sustained break below 16700 on the closing basis could put the long term uptrend in potential danger, which may please be noted. Please note that on the down move the potential bounce back range could be 17224---17000 & 16900---16700.

It is into corrective mode now and it can come out of it if it moves above 17538 and then above 17853, furthermore certain important technical indicators have also turned weak on the daily chart ,which is concerning and if it does not improve fast it could drag it down 17150—17100 levels or below, so be alert and careful. The long term trend is still up but the short term trend is down as of now.

In view of the above observation safe traders can try long trade only if it moves above 17560 and sustain on the closing basis or if it holds 17440 levels for some time with self defined stop loss, else avoid. However aggressive traders can try long trade near or within the important range as mentioned above with a self defined stop losses. Please trail your stop loss in case of profitable trade to avoid losses. As it is in the corrective mode therefore one should be very vigilant and cautious in the long trade. Since it is in corrective mode, therefore short trade can also be tried on the reasonable rise at appropriate points or on the price breakdown with self defined stop losses for a possible intraday corrective gain. The short term bias is negative now.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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