Commodities

Saturday, 2 April 2022

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR-4.4.2022—8.4.2022

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—17436.90--High—17703.70—Low—17422.70---Close-17670.45 on 1.4.2022.

Support:17639/17613/17559/17452.90/17387.15/17354.05/17326/17216/17043/17003.90.          

Resistance: -17704/17795/17948/18018/18152/18210/18350/18604.45/18862/19402/19725/20390/20417.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

As envisaged in my last post for 14.3.2022 to 18.3.2022, it propelled the pullback up move and  converted it into a strong up rally and it moved well above its critical points of 17354.05---17387.15---17436.90---17464.75---17559.80, now as long as it holds these points the up rally will gain strength. But sustained break below any of these points could be concerning and finally sustained break below the range of 17224—17000 could end the on-going up move for a while. Furthermore and most importantly it is in the process of making Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern, which is a bullish pattern and if it moves above 17795 and sustain on the closing basis then the pattern will come into play and then it could hit a maximum up target of 19850—20000, but moving up to the target range it will face stiff resistance on the way at 17815---17875---17948---18018---18152---18210---18350---18475---18604.45---18862---19402---19725, please note that the rally may end at any of the above stated points or earlier also, but if it moves above 18018 and sustain on the closing basis then it is likely to retest its all-time high of 18604.45 or may move higher and if it sustains above 18604.45 then it is very much possible that it could head closer to the maximum target of the inverse head & shoulder pattern.

It is showing strength price-wise and the technical indicators has also turned positive on the daily chart and showing improvement on the weekly chart also, which indicates that the on-going up move may extend and can last for couple of days or weeks, off course with intermittent correction and provided it holds the above mentioned critical points. The technical setup has improved and the long term and short term bias is positive as of now.  

In view of the above observation long trade can be tried if it moves above 17704 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 17600 or on decline at appropriate support points with self defined stop losses but not below 17400 with a stop loss of 17340. Please trail your stop loss in case of profitable trade to avoid losses. As it is in the good up move so it is buy on dip market now, therefore short trade should be avoided in general, but it can be tried on the reasonable rise at appropriate points or on the price breakdown with self defined stop losses for a possible intraday corrective gains. The bias is positive now.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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