Commodities

Saturday, 19 February 2022

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY FOR—21.2.2022

 

CNX--BANK NIFTY

Open—37344.55---High—37817.55---Low—37304.45---Close—37599.15 on 18.2.2022.

Support:37581.05/37319.05/37232.20/37140/36876.35/36651/36375/36151.95/35585.20/35481.70/34817.50/34115/34018.45/33908.95. 

Resistance:37708.75/37891.90/38112.75/38377.25/38461.70/38855.55/39197.20/39424.85/40160.20/41367.25/41829.60

(Bold and underlined figures are most important). 

After making an all-time high of 41829.45 on 25.10.2021 it corrected sharply and made bottom at 34018.45 on 20.12.2021 and then it bounced back but could not surpass the previous high. It is into corrective mode now but long term uptrend is intact as of now but will face threat below 37551(figure may change). Since it is in corrective mode further downside is possible from here and moving down it will find good support in the range of 37551---35839---35585.20---35481.70, it could bounce back from this range, but sustained break below 35839(figure can change) will potentially threaten the long term uptrend and break below 35585.20 & 35481.70 may accelerate the fall and will get into the long term corrective mode which may please be noted. Therefore the above range could be considered an important range.

It is into corrective mode now and some important technical indicators are weak on the daily chart and some on the weekly chart too which indicates that it could fall further in coming days if the price do not improve fast. Moving down the critical supports point could be 37551---37306---36876.36---36651.85---36525---36375---36151---35830---35585.20---35481.70, it could bounce back from any of these points and  I once again reiterate that sustained break below 35585.20 & 35481.70 will accelerate the fall.  It is important to mention here that it is looking relatively better then nifty on the technical chart as of now. Kindly note that it may gain some strength for the up move if it closes above 38462 and it may pick up smooth up momentum only if it closes above 39425 and sustain.

In view of the above observation for safe traders it is suggested to try long trade once it closes above 38462, however aggressive traders can try long trade if it maintains above 37600 for some time with a stop loss of 37480 and can also try buy on decline near the above mentioned critical points with strict stop losses because it is in a corrective mode and up rally in a corrective mode could fizzle out abruptly also, so be alert and careful in the long trade, but as long as it holds 37306 chances of up move is there as of now. As of now it is suggested to adopt sell on the rise strategy or sell on the price breakdown till it gives visible indication of correction completion.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Thank you for sharing your views.