Commodities

Tuesday, 26 October 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR---27.10.2021

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—18154.50--High—18310.45—Low—18099.30---Close-18268.40 on 26.10.2021.

Support:18118.60/18034.35/17968.50/17947.75/17613.15/17576/17452.90/17326.10/17254.20/17055/16701.85.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance: -18332.70/18604.50/18778/18817/18950/19505/19549/19575/19639/20390.09/20405/20656.           

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It opened on a positive note and went up further and closed with a gain of 143 points today. It is still into very short term correction mode but since it closed above its first critical point of 18118.60 yesterday, so as expected it gave a decent pullback move today and if it holds this point on the closing basis then the chance are that it could cross the correction completion threshold point of 18332.70 in coming days and will come out of it. Furthermore if it moves above 18477.30 and sustain on the closing basis then it could resume the up move and may possibly retest its all-time high of 18604.45 or may go beyond it also. Similarly break below 18118.60 will weaken it again. But as long as it holds the range of 18002---17925---17830(figures will increase every day) there is no major threat to the on-going up move, which may please be noted. Moving down its critical support points could be at 18118.60---18078.55---18028---17875---17860---17775---17724---17452(figure may change), it is still into very short term correction mode now, break below 18118.60 will weaken it, break below 18078.55---18028 will push it into short term correction mode, break below 17860 will push it into deep short term correction mode, break below 17775 will weaken it further and finally sustained break below 17452 on the closing basis will indicate that the on-going uptrend may be in jeopardy. Similarly moving up it will face stiff resistance at 18285.80---18302.75---18332.70---18360---18407---18478---18512---18525---18550---18605---18778---19549---19575---19639(figures may change) and it could react from any of these points and then may resume the uptrend again or may break down also which may please be noted.

It is important to mention here that its long term technical setup is still good for the uptrend to continue. Despite todays up move it is still into very short term correction mode therefore further fall cannot be ruled out if it remains below its critical points as mentioned above. Furthermore please note that few technical indicator are giving weak indication which is also concerning and may accelerate the fall in coming days. It is therefore suggested to be extra alert and cautious in long trade till correction completion sign emerges.

In view of the above, it is still into correction mode therefore safe traders can try long trade only if it closes above its critical points 18332.70 or if it gives visible indication of correction completion at the lower levels. However, aggressive traders can try long trade if it moves above 18287 and maintain for some time or can try buy on decline near 18118.60 but not below it. Please note that long trade in a corrective mode could be a risky affair, therefore one should be extremely cautious in the long trade at this point of time.  It is in the long term uptrend but now in correction mode, therefore short trade can also be attempted on the rise and at appropriate point or can be tried on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday gains. Please be extra alert in the short trade because it is in strong long term uptrend as of now.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY (Suggested)

1. Buy if it moves above 18287 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 18200. It is for the aggressive traders and could be a risky trade.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate point or near 18118.60 but not below it with a stop loss of 18090. It is for the aggressive traders and could be a highly risky trade.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 18330---18360 with a stop loss of 18390. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it moves below 18114 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 18170. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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