Tuesday, 19 October 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR---20.10.2021

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—18602.35--High—18604.45—Low—18377.70---Close-18418.75 on 19.10.2021.

Support:18350.75/18254/18197.80/18081/17971/17947.65/17920/17840/17792.95/7756/17700/17613/17576.10/17452.90/17436.50/17326.10/17254.20/17055/16701.85/16656.60/16376.05/16349.45/16162.55/15962.25.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance: -18604.50/18778/19549/19575/19639/20390.09/20656.    

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It finally corrected today and closed with a loss of 58.30 points. Furthermore it has given a trend reversal today but since it is in strong uptrend, therefore watch out how this reversal pans out in next 2-3 trading sessions and most importantly please note that after almost 1000 points of vertical rise it should correct reasonably well to resume the steady up move again therefore this meager correction does not seem enough and it may correct further from here. So one should be alert and cautious in the long trade for the next 2-3 trading sessions because chances are that the correction could deepen. However as long as it holds the range of 18332.70---18302.75---18285.80 on the closing basis then the up move should continue with intermittent correction. It is in strong uptrend now. Moving up from here its upside target point or stiff resistance points could be at 18550---18605---18778---19549---19575---19639(figures may change) and it could react from any of these points and then may resume the uptrend again or may break down also which may please be noted. But it is important to note that sustained close above 18778 will open up the upside range to 20390---20656, which may please be noted.  Similarly moving down its critical support points could be at 18332.70---18302.75---18285.80---18078.55---18028---17860---17452(figure may change), it may bounce back from any of these points, break below the range of 18332.70---18302.75---18285.80, will push it into very short term correction mode, break below 18078.55---18028 & 17860 will weaken it further and push it into  deep short term correction mode, sustained  break below 17452 on the closing basis will indicate that the on-going uptrend may be in jeopardy.

It is important to mention here that its long term technical setup is strong and good for the uptrend to continue. The short term bias is also positive as of now. Furthermore except for one other important technical indicator have also turned positive which may accelerate the up momentum in coming days. I would like to caution here that although it is on a very sound technical footing as of now and further rise is indicated, but with every rise in it the risk element is also increasing, so be alert and careful in your long commitments henceforth.

In view of the above , long trade can be tried if it moves above 18500 and maintain for some time or buy on decline at appropriate points or near or within the range of  18332---18302---18285 but not below it. In light of trend reversal it could correct further from here, therefore one should be extremely cautious in the long trade at this point of time.  It is in the long term uptrend but correction always happens as it happened today, therefore short trade can also be attempted on the rise and at appropriate point or can be tried on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday gains. Please be extra alert in the short trade because it is in strong uptrend.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY (Suggested)

1. Buy if it moves above 18500 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 18450. It is for both the traders.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate point or near or within the range of 18332---18302—18285 but not below it with a stop loss of 18250. It is for both the traders and could be a risky trade.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 18600---18640 with a stop loss of 18675. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it moves below 18280 and maintain for some with a stop loss of 18340. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it does not move above 18500 in first one and half hour of trade with a stop loss of 18550. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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