A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY FOR—11.10.2021

 

CNX--BANK NIFTY

Open—37906.40---High—38105.20--Low—37674.35---Close-37775.25 on 8.10.2021.

Support:37708.75/37315.20/37200/36615/36525.95/36317/36248/36151.95/35531/34817.50. 

Resistance:- 37811.95/38112.75/ 38377.25/38545/38719-743/38888/38914/39093/39695/40234/40337/40498/40680/40746/40855/41169.

(Bold and underlined figures are most important) 

It moved in a range today and closed with a meager gain of 22.05 points. It is still into corrective mode, it has been trying for the last three days to come out of corrective mode but could not and in the process it has made triple top around 38112.75 this will be a tough resistance now, however as long as it maintains above 37231 on the closing basis then there is a chance that it may make an effort to come out of the corrective mode. Please note that it will be out of corrective mode if it closes above 37940.40 and sustain and if it moves above 38077 & 38112.75 and sustain on the closing basis then it could retest its all-time high of 38377.25 or may go beyond it also else it may slip down. Moving up to 38112.75 from here it will face stiff resistance at 37809---37852---37940.40---38024---38077---38112.75 and it could react from any of these points which may please be noted. Its other critical resistance points would be at 38112.75---38377.25---38545---38743---38888. Similarly moving down its critical support points could be at 37630---37537---37450---37322.73---37231---37142---36940---36876---36700---36525.95(figure may change), it may bounce back from any of these points but break below 37231 will be an alert point, break below 37142 will weaken it, sustained break below 36876 may trigger the further fall,  break below 36700 will indicate that the on-going uptrend may be in jeopardy and sustained break below 36525.95 on the closing basis may accelerate the fall.  

It is important to mention here that its long term technical setup is still good for the uptrend to continue. It is still into corrective mode, furthermore certain important technical indicators are giving weak signal on the daily chart which may drag it down in coming days if it does not come out of the corrective mode and sustain above its critical points, so one has to be cautious and alert in the long trade at least till the indicators turn positive or if it closes above 38077 & 38112.75(figure may change) and sustain on the closing basis. The short term bias is slightly weak.

In view of the above observation, it is into corrective mode therefore safe traders should avoid long trade till the fall is arrested or it gives visible indication of correction completion. It would be safe to try long trade only once it closes above 38112.75(this figure can change). However, aggressive traders can try long trade if it moves above  37780 and maintain for some time or can buy on decline at appropriate points or near 37231 but not below it. Please note that long trade in a corrective market and below 37650 could be a risky affair for the day. It is in the long term uptrend but in corrective mode and in a pullback mode now but one never know how this on-going correction will culminate, therefore short trade can also be attempted on the rise and at appropriate point or can be tried on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY (Suggested)

1. Buy if it moves above 37780 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 37650. It is for the aggressive traders and could be a highly risky trade.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 37231 but not below it with a stop loss of 37075. It is for the aggressive traders and could be a highly risky trade.

2. Sell if it moves below 37650 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 37795. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gains.

Or

Sell on the rise near or within the range of 38080---38120 with a stop loss of 38200. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gains.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.