Commodities

Thursday, 23 September 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR---24.9.2021

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—17670.85--High—17843.90—Low—17646.55---Close-17822.95 on 23.9.2021.

Support:17792.95/17756/17700/17630/17458/17436.50/17254.20/17055/16701.85/16656.60/16376.05/16349.45/16162.55/15962.25.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance: -17920/17971/18027/18081/18548/19303.70/19575/20390.09.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It staged a sharp recovery today and moved out of corrective mode and hit a new all-time high of 17843.90 and finally closed near the high with a robust gain of 276.30 points. Despite certain technical indicators showing weakness on the daily chart, today’s price movement indicates extraordinary strength in it, which is positive indication but with caution. Moving up from here its target points or stiff resistance points could be at 17920---17971---18027---18062---18081.50---18548(figures may change), it could correct at any of these points or may move sideways before further rise. Similarly moving down its critical support points would be at 17792.95---17721.70 to17700---17497.50---17447---17293.91---17279(figures may change) , break below 17700 (figure may change) on the closing basis will push it into very short term correction mode, sustained break below 17497.50 & 17447 on the closing basis will weaken it further and push it into short term corrective mode and sustained break below 17279 on the closing basis could push it into deep short term corrective mode which could drag it down with accelerated pace. But if it holds 17721.70---17700(figure can change) then the up move shall continue with intermittent correction.  

 It is important to mention here that its long term technical setup is good for the uptrend to continue. Furthermore it is out of corrective mode but certain important technical indicators are still giving weak signal despite robust rise today, however price pattern does not have any weakness, therefore if it continues to move up for the next 1-2 days then indicators may also turn positive.  The long term bias is hugely positive as of now. The short term bias is also positive but little caution is to be exercised in wake of weak technical indicators.

In view of the above observation, safe traders can try long trade if it moves above 17845 and maintain for some time or can buy on decline near 17721—17700 but not below it. However aggressive traders can also try long trade on decline at appropriate points or near 17500 but not below it. Please note that long trade below 17700 could be a risky affair for the day. It exhibited strong up move today and out of corrective mode also but intraday corrections happens; therefore short trade can also be attempted after reasonable rise or can be tried on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday gains. Please note that short trade could be a highly risky affair as it is in the strong uptrend, so be alert and watchful in short trade.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY (Suggested)

1. Buy if it moves above 17845 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 17780. It is for both the traders.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 17721--17700 but not below it with a stop loss of 17640. It is for both the traders and could be a highly risky trade.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 17500 but not below it with a stop loss of 17430. It is for the aggressive traders and could be a risky trade.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 17950---17985 with a stop loss of 18030. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it moves below 17700 and maintain for some with a stop loss of 17740. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it does not move above 17844 in first one and half hour of trade even intraday with a stop loss of 17875. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

  Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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