Monday, 23 August 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR---24.8.2021

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—16592.25--High—16592.50—Low—16395.70---Close-16496.45 on 23.8.2021.

Support:16376.05/16359.25/16240/16223/16180/16162.55/16074/16024/15962.25/15920/15915.65/15899.80/15885.75/15877/15835.55/15780/15673.95/15635.95/15632.75/15606.55/15578.55/15566/15471/15450.90/15431.75.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance: -16677/16688/16701.85/17415/17504/19575/20390.         

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It is still into very short correction mode but staged a relief rally today and closed with a gain of 45.95 points. Please note that as long as it holds 16453 levels there is a chance that it could up move but it will  get out of correction mode once it closes above 16575 and sustained close above 16637 may resume the up move and take it its all-time high of 16701.85 or beyond. Please note that moving down its critical support points would be at 16495---16453---16421.40---16343, sustained break below 16421.40 on the closing basis will push it into deep short term correction mode and sustained break below 16343(figure will change every day) may drag it down fast and may put the on-going up move in potential danger which may please be noted. Therefore moving down the important benchmark points are 16421.40 & 16343(figure can change) and moving up the critical resistance and benchmark points are at 16495---16574.60---16637 and thereafter 16701.85---16805---16895---16960(last three figures will change every day). The steady and strong up momentum from here now seems an uphill task but it can still make an effort to continue the up move if it moves above 16637 and sustain on the closing basis, but the fast and very strong up momentum will begin once it moves above 16960(it will change every day) and sustain on the closing basis, but the up journey from here will be very tough till it crosses 16960. It is important to mention here that on the downside as long as it holds 15962.25 levels on the closing basis there is no major threat to the long term uptrend as of now.  

It is important to mention here that its long term technical setup is still good for the uptrend to continue. The down move was a normal correction as of now and it gave a small pullback rally today , short term outlook is still o.k. as of now, therefore further rise may be ahead in coming days with intermittent corrections provided it moves above 16637 and sustain and holds 16343(it can change) on the downside on the closing basis.

In view of the above observation, since it is in correction mode long trade in general should be avoided by the safe traders and they can only try long trade if it moves and closes above 16637.However aggressive traders can try long trade if it holds 16450 or if it moves above16593 and maintain for some time or can buy on decline at appropriate points or near 16343 but not below it. Please note that long trade below 16450 could be a risky affair for the day. It is in corrective mode and still below some of its very critical long term averages, therefore short trade can also be tried after reasonable rise or can be tried on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY (Suggested)

1. Buy if it moves above 16593 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 16540. It is for the aggressive traders and could be a risky trade.

Or

Buy if it holds the level of 16453 with a stop loss of 16410. It is for the aggressive traders and could be a risky trade.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 16343 but not below it with a stop loss of 16260. It is for the aggressive traders. It could be a highly risky trade.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 16600---16640 with a stop loss of 16660. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it moves below 16421 or below 16376 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 16460 & 16430. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

  Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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