Commodities

Monday, 8 March 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY FOR—9.3.2021

 

CNX--BANK NIFTY

Open-35462.45--High-35827.30--Low—35090.75—Close-35275.75 on 8.3.2021

Support:34893.25/34803.60/32842.30/32718.75/31725.85/31650.90/31510.25/30945.20/30893.65/30197.85/29687.70

Resistance: 35379/35428.15/35584.60/35648/35815.75/25884/36086/36397/36615.20/36647/36897/37170/37284/37708.25/38286/38520.

(Bold and underlined figures are most important)

Although it closed on a positive note with a meager gain of 47.60 points, but it is still in deep short term corrective mode, which is a very weak sign and indicate that it could drift further down from here if it does not bounce back sharply in next 3-4 trading session. . Please note that its critical and most important points for the year 2021 are 32613.10---32465.45---31297.30 & 31264.05 and it is well above these points now and as long as it hold these points on the closing basis uptrend will remain intact. Its other key points are placed at 36031---35815.75---35648---33625---32612.92(figures can change). ). It is decisively below its first 3 key points of 36031 -- 35815.75 & 35648 therefore it is in deep short corrective mode which can last for 4-7 days or more. Please note that sustained break below 33625 will push it into medium term correction mode and it can last even longer and most importantly sustained break below 32612.92 on the closing basis can push it into long term correction mode and can potentially threaten the uptrend also which may please be noted.

It still has the long term technical strength but short term technical setup is very weak and it is into deep short term correction mode now and it can only give a pullback up move if it moves above 35427(figure can change) and sustain on the closing basis, else correction may deepen. Kindly, note that to come out of corrective mode completely it has to move above 35648---35815.75---36031 and finally above 36718 and sustain on the closing basis, which seems slightly tough at this point of time.  However moving up it will face resistance at 35648---35815.75---36031---36718---36989---37100---37232.20---37708.75---37932---38215---38539---38822, please note that sustained close above 36718 may help it to pick, up momentum and sustained close above 37100 will ensure that it may retest its all time high of 37708.75 or may go beyond also.  Similarly moving down it can find support at 35018---34893.25—34658.70---34373---34114---33625. Please note that the short term technical setup is weak now, but the long term setup is still o.k. 

In view of the above observation, it is suggested that safe traders should avoid long trade till it closes at least above 35427 and sustain but it would be safe to try long trade if it closes above 36031 and sustain. However aggressive traders can try long trade if it moves above 35427 and maintain for some time or buy on decline near but not below 35090.  Please note that long trade could be a risky proposition because it is in corrective mode. Since it is still in corrective phase therefore short trade can be tried after a reasonable rise in the appropriate range or on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday down correction or otherwise but with extreme alertness and caution because the long term technical setup is still o.k. as of now.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY

1. Buy if it moves and maintain above 35427 for some time with a stop loss of 35250. It is for aggressive traders and could be a risky trade.

Or

Buy on decline but not below 35090 with a stop loss of 35000. It could be a highly risky trade.

2. Sell if it moves and maintains below 35090 for some time with a stop loss of 35300. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday correction.

Or

Sell on the rise near or within the range of 35900---36000with a stop loss of 36100. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday correction.

Or

Sell if it moves and maintains below 34893 for some time with a stop loss of 35100. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday correction.

 

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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