Commodities

Wednesday, 6 January 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR—7.1.2021

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—14240.95 --High—14244.15—Low—14039.90---Close-14146.25 on 6.1.2021.

Support:14046/14024.85/13996/13981.75/13945/13777.50/13769/13721/13658.60/13611/13597.50/13548.90/13530.71/13454.48/13399.30/13242/13145.85/13131.4512963/12790.40/12730.25/12607.70/12430.50/12293.90/12286.45/12246.70/12158.80/12025.45/11929.60/11802.65/11794.25/11614.50/11535.45.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance: 14177/14298/14310/14602/14823/15022.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

After ten days rise from the recent bottom of 13131.45 it made on 21.12.2020 it corrected today and closed with a loss of 53.25 points. But as long as it holds its critical points of 14024.85 & 13981.75 on the closing basis the up move will remain intact. Its other key points are at 13981.55---13901.07---13604.90---13429.02---12655.15---12430.50(except for 12430.50 other figures can change). It is well above the key points, which is a positive sign for the continuation of the up move. Please note that sustained break below the key points of 13981.55 & 13901.07 can push it into very short term correction mode which can last for 2-3 days, sustained break below 13604.90 on the closing basis will push it into deep short term correction mode which can last slightly longer, sustained break below 13429.02 will push it into medium term correction mode which can last even longer and most importantly sustained break below 12655.15 on the closing basis can push it into long term correction mode and will potentially threaten the uptrend also and finally sustained break below 12430.50 on the closing basis will further dampen the uptrend for sure, which may please be noted.

The overall technical setup is looking strong for the continuation of the up move. Today’s correction was very normal and I once again reiterate here that as long as it holds its critical points of 14024.85 & 13981 on the closing basis the uptrend will remain intact, but sustained break below these points on the closing basis could push it into good correction mode. It is therefore suggested to avoid long trade below 14024.85 & 13981 and should try only at appropriate points on decline or once it bounces back above the said points again. Similarly moving up it has very tough critical point at 14177 & 14310 but once it crosses 14310 and sustains on the closing basis then the next tough point would be at 15471, however reaching to this mark may not be easy and it will face stiff resistance on way to this mark at 14602---14823---15022---15471---15868.  The bias is hugely positive as of now but vulnerability of correction is also there as long as it does not cross 14310 levels and sustain on the closing basis, which may please be noted.

Moving down its critical support points at 14046---14024.85---13981---13953.75---13901---13819---13777.50---13688---13556---13517---13429---13394---13345---13209---13133---13081---12924---12889.

Moving up its critical resistance points at 14177---14298---14310---14602---14823---15022---15471---15868.

In view of the above observation long trade can be tried if it moves and maintain above 14200 for some time or can be tried on decline but not below 14025. However aggressive traders can try long trade if it move above 14177 and maintain for some time. Since it is in the strong up move therefore short trade in general should be avoided but short trade can also be attempted on the rise at appropriate price range or on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday corrective move.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY

1. Buy if it moves and maintains above 14200 for some time with a stop loss of 14160.It is for safe traders.

Or

Buy if it moves and maintains above 14177 for some time with a stop loss of 14140.It is for aggressive traders.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 14025 but not below it with a stop loss of 13970.

2. Sell near if does not move above 14200 even in intraday in first two hours of trade with a stop loss of 14250.It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Or

Sell if it moves and maintains below 13981 for some time with a stop loss of 14030.It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

 Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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