Commodities

Thursday, 14 January 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY FOR---14.1.2021

 

CNX--BANK NIFTY

Open-32546.60--High-32683.50--Low—32148.25—Close-32574.65 on 13.1.2021

Support:32465.45/32260/32161/31836/31783/31660.75/31649.45/30996/30945.20/30202.10/30197.85/29784.75/29441.30/29314/29149.90/29030.90/28923.10/28580.90/27703.30/27568.35/27088/26950/26643/26560/26441/26311.30/25998/25891/25723.55/25426.75.

Resistance:32613.10/32683.50/33043/33327/33681.

(Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It has been steadily moving up and as envisaged it crossed it’s all time high of 32613.10 and made new high of 32683.50 today but closed below it. It is way above its benchmark point of 29314. Its other key points are placed at 32261.10—31808.71----30542---29785---28773.63(figures can change) and it is well above its key points also which is a positive sign for the up move to continue. Please note that sustained break below 32261.10 & 31808.71 can push it into very short correction mode which can last for 2-4 days, sustained break below 30542 on the closing basis will push it into real short term correction mode which can last slightly longer, sustained break below 29785 will push it into medium term correction mode which can last even longer and most importantly sustained break below 28773.63 on the closing basis can push it into long term correction mode and will potentially threaten the uptrend also, which may please be noted.  

The overall technical setup is looking good for the continuation of the up move. Furthermore it crossed it all time high of 32613.10 intraday, although it closed below it at the end but it has good  strength and once it sustains above this mark on the closing basis then it may be heading for big a rise which may please be noted. Therefore at this point of time it is suggested to be slightly cautious till it closes above 32613.10. Please note that it’s most critical and important points for the year 2021 are 32613.10---32465.45---31264.05 and if it remains below any of these points one should be very alert and careful in the long trade.

Moving down its critical support points at 32465.45---32261---31808.71---31725.85---31508.17---30945.20---30893.65---30542---30197.85---29785---29314---28773.63.

Moving up its critical resistance points at 32613.10---32683.50---33043---33327---33681---34130---34323---35440---37700.

In view of the above observation for safe traders long trade can tried if it moves and maintain above 32575 for some time, avoid buy on decline for the day. However aggressive traders can try long trade if it maintains above 32575 for some time or on decline but not below 32100. Since it is in the strong up move therefore short trade in general should be avoided but short trade can also be attempted on the rise at appropriate price range or on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday corrective move irrespective of the trend.

 NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY

1. Buy if it moves and maintains above 32575 for some time with a stop loss of 32440.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 32100 but not below it with a stop loss of 31900.It is for aggressive traders.                

                                           

2. Sell if it moves and maintains below 31900 for some time with a stop loss of 32060.It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

                                                            Or       

Sell near if does not move above 32683.50 even in intraday in first two hours of trade with a stop loss of 32750.It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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