Commodities

Thursday, 10 December 2020

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR—11.12.2020

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—13488.50--High—13503.55—Low—13399.30---Close-13478.30 on 10.12.2020.

Support:13435.45/13418/13365/13242/13145.85/12963/12790.40/12730.25/12607.70/12430.50/12293.90/12286.45/12246.70/12158.80/12025.45/11929.60/11802.65/11794.25/11614.50/11535.45.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance: 13549/ 13580/13611/13650/13721/13768/14296.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

As expected it corrected today but it is well above its most critical and important points which are placed at 13275--12900 & 12795 for 11.12.2020(figures can change every day) and also above other key points which are at 13369.89---13355.70---13073.73---12897.85---12430.5---12123.98(except for 12430.50 other figures can change), therefore today’s correction was less than the very short correction and if it does not break the first two key points in next 1-2 days then it could bounce back sharply. Please note that sustained break below 13369.89 & 13355.70 can push it into very short correction, sustained break below 13073.73 on the closing basis will push it into short term correction mode, sustained break below 12897.85 will push it into medium term correction mode, sustained break below 12430.50 will indicate that it could lose steam for continuation of the up move and most importantly sustained break below 12123.98 on the closing basis can push it into long term correction mode and will potentially threaten the uptrend also, which may please be noted.

The overall technical setup is looking strong for the up move to continue; furthermore the negative divergence has also faded out, which is an extremely good sign. Today’s correction was very light and if it hold the first two key points for the  next 1-2 days and crosses 13530 on the closing basis then it could resume the up move again else correction may slightly deepen. The bias is on the upside as of now.

Moving down its critical support points at 13419---13369.89---13355.70---13259.15---13145.75---13073.73---12963---12897.85---12790---12730---12709.05---12607.70---12430.50.---12123.98.

Moving up its critical resistance points at 13548.90---13611—13650---13721--13768.

In view of the above observation, it is suggested to try long trade if it moves and maintain above 13530 for some time or can buy on decline at appropriate points but not below 13369. It is in strong up momentum therefore short trade in general should be avoided, but it can be attempted on the rise at the appropriate price range or on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday corrective move. I would once again reiterate that one should be extremely cautious and careful in the long trade at this point of time. 

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY

1. Buy if it moves and maintain above 13530 for some time with a stop loss of 13470.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 13369 but not below it with a stop loss of 13330.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 13625---13650 with a stop loss of 13680. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain. Square off the trade in any case before the day ends, but can be carried forward if the trade is in substantial profit else not.

Or

Sell near if it does not move above 13549 even in intraday trade for first hour of trade with a stop loss of 13570. It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Or

Sell if it moves and maintains below 13330 for some time with a stop loss of 13375. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday correction.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

 Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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