Commodities

Saturday, 24 October 2020

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY—26.10.2020

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—11957.90--High—11974.55—Low—11908.75---Close-11930.35 on 23.10.2020.

Support:11929.60/11832.30/11802.65/11794.25/11775.75/11761/11694.85/11633/11618.10/11584/11549/11507.65/11490.75/11460.35/11447/11373.60/11341.4011305.60/11270/11242.65.                                                                                                                     

Resistance:11981.75/12025.45/12034.15/12041.15/12103.05/12158.80/12246.70/12283-12294/12430.50.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It did gave a positive close today but failed to cross the recent top of 11937.65  on the closing basis, however it could still cross the desired points  of 11937.65---11971.05---12025.45---12068 for the continuation of the ongoing uptrend in coming days provided it holds 11880 and finally 11775 on the closing basis as of now. It will give weak signal if it breaks and sustain below 11880 and will grow further weak and put the ongoing uptrend in danger if it sustain below 11775 on the closing basis and will get into deep corrective mode if it sustain below 11733(this can change with upward movement in prices) on the closing basis. Similarly if it moves and sustain above 12025.45 & 12068 on the closing basis then it may have accelerated up move, which may be kept in mind. The overall chart setup is strong as of now and indicates that the further up move is ahead in coming days/week/months and it is very likely to retest it all time high of 12430.50 or may go beyond it also, provided it holds it key points as mentioned above. The bias is bullish as of now.

Moving down it will find support at 11880---11832---11803---11794---11775---11733---11694.85---11661---11618---11584---11549.

Moving up the upside target or the resistance points could be at 11937.65---11971.05--12025.45---12041.15---12068---12130---12178---12415---12430.50.

In view of the above observation it is suggested for the safe traders to avoid long trade on the decline for the day but it can be tried if it maintains above 11940 for some time. However aggressive traders can try long trade if it maintain above 11940 or on the decline at the appropriate points but not below 11775. Please note that trying long trade on decline may be a risky affair for the day. Since it has made lower top on the line chart and has still not crossed it, so possibility of further down correction from here cannot be ruled out till it cross the recent top on the closing basis, therefore short trade can also be attempted after a reasonable rise at appropriate range or on the price breakdown for taking advantage of possible intraday correction or may be long correction.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY

1. Buy if it moves and maintain above 11940 with a stop loss of 11875. It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Or

Buy on decline but not below 11775 with a stop loss of 11720.It is for aggressive traders. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 12040---12070 with a stop loss of 12100 It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday corrective move.

Or

Sell if it moves and maintain below 11794 for some time with a stop loss of 11840. It could be risky trade but worth trying.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

 Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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