Commodities

Wednesday, 21 October 2020

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY—22.10.2020

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—11958.55--High—12018.65—Low—11775.75---Close-11937.65 on 21.10.2020.

Support:11929.60/11832.30/11802.65/11794.25/11761/11694.85/11633/11618.10/11584/11549/11507.65/11490.75/11460.35/11447/11373.60/11341.4011305.60/11270/11242.65.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance:11981.75/12000.35/12034.15/12041.15/12103.05/12158.80/12246.70/12283-12294/12430.50.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

 As anticipated and envisaged it did came very close to the high of 12025.45 of the down bar it made on 15.10.2020 today but could not cross it, therefore corrected sharply in the afternoon and hit a low of 11775.75 and in the process it has filled the gap of 11789 also it created on 19.10.2020 and bounced back in a robust manner in the late afternoon to close with a gain of 40.85 points, which is a good sign and indicate strength. It is still well above its key points of 11803 & 11733(figures can change with the change in prices) and as long as it hold onto the above points on the closing basis it is likely to continue the uptrend, but sustained break below 11733 on the closing basis will push it into correction mode, which may be kept in mind. Moving down it will find support at 11832---11803---11733---11694.85---11661---11618---11584---11549.The overall chart setup is good as of now and indicates further rise ahead in coming days/weeks off course with an intermittent correction. Moving up the upside target or the resistance points could be at12025.45---12041.15---12068---12130---12178---12415---12430.50.

In view of the above observation it is suggested for the safe traders to avoid long trade on the decline for the day but it can be tried if it maintains above 11940 for some time. However aggressive traders can try long trade if it maintain above 11940 or on the decline at the appropriate points but not below 11803. Please note that trying long call on decline may be a risky affair for the day but can be tried because of technical strength in it. Since it exhibited extra ordinary strength today therefore short trade in general should be avoided but  can  be attempted either after a reasonable rise in the appropriate range or on the price breakdown for taking advantage of possible intraday correction or otherwise.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY

1. Buy if it moves and maintain above 11940 with a stop loss of 11890. It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Or

Buy on decline but not below 11803 with a stop loss of 11725.It is for aggressive traders. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 12070---12130 with a stop loss of 12160 It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday corrective move.

Or

Sell if it moves and maintain below 11733 for some time with a stop loss of 11810. It could be risky trade but worth trying.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

 Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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