Commodities

Monday, 19 October 2020

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY FOR—20.10.2020

 

CNX--BANK NIFTY

Open-23902.90--High-24320.95--Low-23754.85—Close-24266.75 on 19.10.2020

Support:24240/24096.75/23912.75/23822/23605.40/23388/23211.35/2308122866/22479.85/22439.95/22418/22346/22122/22080/22028/21967/21909.40/21807/21027/20926/20404.90.

Resistance:24365/24617.15/25105.35/25199/25232.60/25426.75/25723.55/25953.50/26408/26491.85.

(Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It continued the up move today also and crossed its recent closing top of 23874.45 on the line chart and intraday top of 24190.35 on the bar chart and closed above both the top, which speaks of good strength in it; therefore it seems that it has resumed the up move again. But the significant point is that it has opened with an up gap today and if it makes an attempt to fill the gap in next 3-4 trading session which is technically possible then it can come down to 23646 levels, which may be kept in mind. It is also important to mention here that to keep the up momentum going it should not break the level of 24000 and sustain below it on the closing basis and if it does then it could slip into correction again. The situation is slightly tricky as of now so be watchful. Going down it may find support at 23805---23645---23486---23240. Kindly, note that looking at the overall technical setup, chances of moving up looks better as of now. Going up from here the possible upside target or the resistance points could be at 24267---24365---24522---24656---24944---25232.60---25427---25724---25953---26312. Please note that sustained break above24365 on the closing basis will open the upside up to 26312 levels.

In view of the above observation long trade can be tried if it maintains above 24190 or can be tried on decline also but not below 24000.Since it seems that it has picked up the up momentum therefore short trade in general should be avoided. But short trade can also be attempted after a reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for taking advantage of possible intraday correction.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY

1. Buy if it maintains above 24190 with a stop loss of 24100.It could be risky trade.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate point or near but not below 24000 with a stop loss of 23900.It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 24700---24800 with a stop loss of 24875. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday corrective move.

Or

Sell if it moves below 23940 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 24040.It could be a risky trade but worth trying. 

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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