Commodities

Saturday, 25 April 2020

INTRA-DAY TRADING CALLS FOR 27.4.2020


TRADING CALLS


1. DLF.
Sell below -127, S/L-129, Target-120/115/108.

2. BAJAJ FINANCE.
Sell below-1970, S/L-1985, Target-1912/1818/1800.

3. AXIS BANK.
Sell below -401, S/L-405, Target-386/376/362.
     
4. BAJAJ AUTO. (ITS CRITICAL POINT IS 2442.20)
Buy above -2446, S/L-2435, Target-2483/2525/2560
OR
Sell below-2442.20.S/L-2460,Target-2380/2364/2336.

5. HDFC BANK.
 Sell below-932, S/L-940, Target-919/907/900.

6. HDFC LTD.
Sell below -1569, S/L-1585, Target-1547/1517/1500/1485.                                    

7. BAJAJ FINSERV.
Sell below-4365, S/L-4400, Target-4329/4160/4000.

8. ICICI BANK.
Sell below-331, S/L-336, Target-322/313/302.

9. HDFC STANDARD LIFE INS CO LTD.
Sell below -451, S/L-457, Target-441/429/416.  

10. INDUSIND BANK.
Sell below-380, S/L, 387, Target-371/351/343.


11. ICICI LOMBARD GIC LTD.
Sell below-1126, S/L, 1140 Target-1101/1070/1051/1030.
                          
12. SBI.
Sell below-179, S/L-182, Target-175/173/171/166/157.

13. HCL TECH.
Sell below-465, S/L-470, Target-456/447/441/428.

14. TITAN.
Sell on the rise near but not above-920, S/L-930, Target-905/893/872/855.
OR

Sell below-892, S/L-902, Target-872/855.

15. TATA STEEL.
Sell below-266, S/L-271, Target-259/250/245.

16. TECH MAHINDRA.
Sell below-500, S/L-505, Target-485/471.

17. M&M.
Sell below-331, S/L-336, Target-316/302.

18. MARUTI SUZUKI.
Sell below-5030, S/L-5060, Target-4990/4970/4884.

19. HNDALCO.
Sell below -102.75, S/L-105, Target-100/96/91/86. 

 20. HLL.
Sell below -2275, S/L-2310, Target-2243/2224/2190.  

 21. JSW STEEL.
Sell below -152.60, S/L-155, Target-143/136/132.                                     
                           
                            
                             Note: Price stated here is of spot market.   

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

 Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.                       

 Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit the trade

   
                     
  

                    
                             



Friday, 24 April 2020

A BROAD TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY FOR THE WEEK STARTING FROM- 27.4.2020


CNX--BANK NIFTY

Open-19697.65--High-19950.15--Low-19515.40—Close-19586.65 on 24-4-2020

Support:-19466.30/19409.35/19229/19144/19122.10/19051.95/18820/18703.45/18226/18162.53/17719/17606/17502/17350/17248.42/17143.20/16946/16759/16587/16193/16116.25.

Resistance:-19887/19988/20010/20267.95/20356.50/20444/20681.45/20866.55/21122.10/21462.40/21947/22418/22469/22996.40/23611.10/23657/24240.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)                                                                       
It exhibited huge volatility during the preceding week; it did cross and gave intermittent close above its crucial point of 20010(see my last post of 20.4.2020) but could not sustain and finally ended the week decisively below it and on a very weak note at 19586.65. It has also made lower top in bar and the line chart but yet to make a lower bottom so watch out for it for complete weakness, furthermore it has also broken some of its short term moving averages which is also a weak indication. Therefore in view of the above it seems that this relief rally has topped out long ago at 21462.40 on 27.3.2020 on the bar chart because after that it did made higher bottom and top but could not cross this top instead made lower top on 23.4.200 at 20356.50. Similarly on the line chart it has topped out at 20681.45 on 17.4.2020 and then made lower top at 20267.95 on 23.4.2020. But to confirm the rally exhaustion it needs to make lower bottom, which may possibly happen during the week.    

It is important to note that 20010 is its crucial & benchmark point and to show some strength and steady up move it has to close above it and then above 20267.95 and sustain. But looking at the price movement during the last week it seems less likely to happen.

In view of the foregoing paragraphs it seems that the ongoing bear rally has exhausted, but the confirmation of the rally exhaustion is yet to happen and it will only happen on the line chart if it closes below 19409.35 and then do not close above 20267.95 on the up move as of now. Similarly for confirmation on the bar chart it should move below 19051.95 and then on the up move it should not go beyond 20356.50 even in intraday as of now. It will signal severe break down if it sustain below 19050 on the closing basis.

NOTE: - The ongoing relief rally seems to have exhausted and to prove it otherwise it has to move and close above 20267.95 on the line chart and intraday move above 20356.50 on the bar chart.
 

TRADING STARTAGY      

1. Buying should be avoided as it is below its key point of 20010 and  
    made lower top also.  

2. Sell on the rise in the range of 20010---20356 but not above 20356
     with a stop loss of above 20500.
Or
    Sell below 19500 with a stop loss of above 19750.

IMPORTANT NOTE: - Be alert in short trade if it closes above 20010 & 20267.95 and moves above 20356.50 intraday. Long trade should be avoided as of now.

Remark: - It is in the bear market and it seems that the ongoing relief rally has exhausted but the confirmation of it is yet to happen, but since it is well below its crucial & benchmark point of 20010 therefore long trade should be avoided till it closes above 20010 & 20267.95. A short trade on the rise or as suggested above seems to be a better option at this point of time. It is very important to mention here that its relative strength in comparison with CNX-Nifty is very weak on technical charts, therefore it may trigger fall any moment. The trend is down and long term bias is bearish.    


Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.


A BROAD TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR THE WEEK STARTING FROM---27.4.2020


CNX-NIFTY

Open-9163--High-9296.90—Low-9141.30—Close-9154.40 on 24.4.2020

Support:9133/9090/9038.90/8981.45/8966/8860/8842.28/8821.90/8801.14/8774.67/8712.85/8672.07/8553/8537/8461/8327.20/8269/8148.50/8055/7946.74/7893.80.

Resistance:9269.20/9343/9390.31/9460/9580/9685.55/9687.55/9944.40/9951.90/9958.55/9970.80/10004.55/10020.35.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)                                                                       
In the preceding week it exhibited huge volatility and as envisaged it hit the benchmark and possible bear rally exhaustion point of 9390.31(see my last post of 20.4.2020) on 20-4-2020 and then fell sharply the next day and made a low of 8909.40 thereafter for next three day it traded between the above range and finally ended the week on a relatively weak note at 9154.40. On the daily chart it is still making higher bottom & top in the line chart, but in the bar chart it has made a lower top so it is a weak signal but it is yet to make a lower bottom so watch out for it. However it is still above its short term moving averages on the daily chart, which speaks of some strength. Please note that if it fails to close and sustain above the benchmark point of 9390.31 and then start making lower bottom and top on the line and bar chart then it will be construed that the top is in place and relief rally has exhausted. It may possibly fulfil the conditions of rally exhaustion during the week.     

So, I once again reiterate that 9390.31 level (see my last post) would be the benchmark point and if it move and sustain above it on the closing basis for at least for 3-4 days then it would open upside up to 10000 but moving up it would face huge resistance at 9460/9520-580/9685.55/9687.55/9944.40/9951.90/9958.55/9970.80.

In view of the above observation it seems that the ongoing bear rally has exhausted at 9390.85, but the confirmation of the rally exhaustion is yet to happen and it will only happen on the line chart if it closes below 8981.45 and then do not close above 9313.90 on the up move as of now. Similarly for confirmation on the bar chart it should move below 8909 and then on the up move it should not go beyond 9343.60 even intraday as of now. It will signal severe break down if it sustain below 8672 on the closing basis. Therefore please note that till it confirms the rally exhaustion conditions it may still claw back to 9390.31 or may move above it also. So be vigilant and cautious in both side trades.   

NOTE: - The ongoing relief rally seems to have exhausted at 9390.85 on 20.4.2020 and to prove it otherwise it has to move and close above it and sustain. Therefore as of now the upside benchmark point is 9390.31 and downside benchmark point is 8672.

TRADING STARTAGY      

1. Buy on decline but not below 9070 with a stop loss of below 8970.    
     Since the rally seems to have exhausted, so it could be a risky trade.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 9300—9343 but not above      
    above 9343 with a stop loss of above 9420.
Or
    Sell below 9140 with a stop loss of above 9220.
Or
    Sell below 9070 with a stop loss of above 9155.

Remark: - It is in the bear market and it seems that the ongoing relief rally has exhausted but the confirmation of it is yet to happen, therefore one should be vigilant and careful in long trade till it moves above 3943.60 and then the benchmark point of 9390.31 and sustain. A short trade on the rise or as suggested above seems to be a better option at this point of time. The trend is down and long term bias is bearish.    

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.


Tuesday, 21 April 2020

INTRA-DAY TRADING CALLS FOR 22.4.2020


TRADING CALLS


1. AXIS BANK.
Sell below -417, S/L-423, Target-409/400/385/375.

2. BAJAJ AUTO.
Sell below-2344.S/L-2360,Target-2293/2264/2242.

3. HDFC BANK.
 Sell below-908, S/L-922, Target-892/862.

4. HDFC AMC LTD.
Sell below-2610, S/L-2630, Target-2562/2495/2450.

5. HINDALCO.
Sell below -105, S/L-107.50, Target-101/98/92.                                    

6. ICICI BANK.
Sell below-336, S/L-341, Target-323/319/303/295.

7. INDUSIND BANK.
Sell below-396, S/L, 402, Target-386/371/352.

8. INFOSYS.
 Sell below -627, S/L-635, Target-621/613/597/582.  

9. JSW STEEL LTD.
Sell below -161, S/L-164, Target-156/152/142.  

10. KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK.
Sell below-1125, S/L, 1135 Target-1114/1090/1075.
                           
11. L&T.
Sell below-863, S/L-872, Target-845/820/806.


12. MARUTI.
Sell below-4970, S/L-5010, Target-4884/4810/4765.

13. M&M.
Sell below-343, S/L-347, Target-323/315/305.

14. TATA STEEL.
Sell below-265, S/L-270, Target-260/251/245.

15. ACC LTD.
Sell below-1132, S/L-1140, Target-1116/1090/1075.

16. SHRIRAM TRANSPORT FINANCE CO.
Sell below-578, S/L-589, Target-565/540/520.

17. TCS.
Sell below-1720, S/L-1740, Target-1697/1675/1650.

18. TITAN.
Sell below-932, S/L-940, Target-920/915/895/855.

19. MOTHERSON SUMI.
Sell below-71.25, S/L-72.50, Target-69/64/62/57.

20. RELIANCE INDUSTRIES.
Sell below-1220, S/L-1235, Target-1211/1191/1172/1164.

                           
.                              Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

 Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.                       

 Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit the trade