Sunday, 28 January 2018

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--NIFTY--29-1-2018

 CNX-NIFTY---29-1-2018

Open-11095.60—High-11095.60---Low—11009.20---Close—11069.65 on 25-1-2018

Support: 11005/10940/10881.40/10782.65/10755/10666.75/10552.40/10530.70.

Resistance: 11110--120/11160—175/11220---250/11500+


For-29-1-2018 the intra-day short support and resistance levels are given here-under:-

Support: - 11005/10959/10940/10909/10881.40/                                                                                                          
Resistance: 11110--20/11160—175/11200/11220---250


Further to my last post of 14-12-2017, it did not break the last support range of 10033.35---10008 and bounced back from 10074.80 and then went on to cross the tough resistance range of 10400—490.45 (see my post of 14-12-2017) and thereafter it  moved from strength to strength and hit a new high of 11110.10 on 24-1-18. The chart setup is good and it is in strong up move but certain technical indicators suggest that it is in overbought zone, furthermore is has been rising unabated for last 8 weeks which is a Fibonacci number also and if it moves up further there is a strong resistance zone in the range of 11115---11165—11225, therefore there is a strong possibility that it may correct from here or may be after moving up little further from here, but the correction looks imminent in next1-2 weeks time. Please note that if it moves above 11225--250 and sustain then it may race up to 11500+ levels.

It is important to mention here that the Union Budget will be presented during the next week; it is therefore suggested to keep your trading commitment light and one should be extremely cautious and careful in the trade because it may witness huge volatility on either side in coming week and may trap the traders on wrong foot. In all likelihood there is a good possibility that the correction may be triggered soon after the Budget.

For traders the broad range for the week starting from 29-1-18 would be between 11110---10880 and the range for the day would be between 11110---11005. Long trade can be tried if it moves and sustain above 11110 for some time with a stop loss of below 11060 or on decline near but not below 11005 with a stop loss of below 10950. I once again reiterate that in view of the ensuing Union Budget there could be extreme volatility both ways so trade should be handled with utmost alertness. Although there is no sign as yet to go short in it but short trade can be tried amid expected volatility. If it fails to move above 11110.10 for some time then try short trade near 11110 with a stop loss of above 11125 or on the rise and in the range of 11165—11225 with a stop loss of above 11250,it could be a risky trade but worth trying. The overall bias is up.

Last but not the least as long as it holds the range of 10552---10530 on the closing basis there is no threat to the uptrend. Therefore long trade can be tried on sharp decline at the appropriate levels till it holds the above range.

Remark: - The long term trend is up. But in view of vertical rise the possibility of correction is also pretty bright, however long trade can still be tried as suggested above but with utmost caution. The contrarian trader can try short trade if price movement permits.                                                                                                                                                                                     
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here is of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.




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