Commodities

Thursday, 3 August 2017

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--NIFTY---4-8-2017



CNX-NIFTY

Open-10081.15—High-10081.15---Low—9998.25---Close—10013.65 on 3-8-2017

Major Support: -9970/9944.50/9919.60/9870/9838/9928.20/9792.05/9778.85/9709.30.                                                                                                                    
Major Resistance: -10043.60/ 10114.85/10131/10162/10369.

Critical Point:-9870 & 9970.

For-3-8-17 the intra-day support and resistance levels are given here-under:-

Support: -9990--9970/9944/9928.20/9912/9870/9857.25/9838/9792.05/9778.85.

Resistance: - 10043.60/10114.85/10131/10138/10157/10228/10295.

It opened on a flat note and as expected started to decline immediately and broke its important range of 10043.60—10038.85, furthermore it also broke the trend line drawn from the bottom of 9448.75 which indicates potential weakness. However it has bed of support in the range of 9990----9910 and within the range strong support points are at 9970 & 9944.50, so if it goes down further it may bounce back from anywhere within this range but sustained break below 9910 on the closing basis can take it down for deeper correction which may please be noted.

It closed on a weak note and near the low of the day, most importantly breaking critical range and rising trend line which is very bad sign, it is below some of its short term moving averages also now and finally technical indicator is showing negative divergence which indicates that further decline from here cannot be ruled out, if it does not bounce back sharply in next 2-3 trading session. It is therefore suggested that long call should be avoided till the on-going decline is arrested and it starts moving up again because how this 2 day down move will culminate nobody knows. However in view of its good support range of 9990---9910 and strong support point at 9970 & 9944.50 long call can be attempted in the range of 9970---9944.50 but not below 9944.50.

Last but not the least in light of two days weak movement and negative divergence on the chart short call can also be attempted but it cannot be emphatically said at this moment that it is sell on the rise market now. However in last two days it has reasonably weakened which may be noted.


TRADING STRATAGY FOR-4.8.2017

1. Long call can only be tried if it maintains above 10043.60 with a stop loss of below 10000 for a target of 10065/10092.
OR
 Long call can be tried on decline in the range of 9970---9944.50 with a stop loss of below 9900.

2. Short call can be tried on the rise but not above 10043.60 with a stop loss of above 10090 for a target of 10014/9970/9944.50.
OR
Short call can be tried if it move below 10010 and sustain with a stop loss of above 10050. Please note that short call could be a risky bet but considering last two days weak move, it would be worth trying.

Remark: - The trend is still up as of now. But it has been correcting for last 2 days and looking at sharp down move today ,it seems that decline may continue therefore avoid long call till the fall is arrested, however aggressive trader can go long as suggested above. But looking at 2 days fall short call  seems a better bet if price movement favors.  


 Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here is of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit  trade.


Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here is of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit  trade.




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