Sunday, 25 December 2016

CNX-NIFTY- A TECHNICAL VIEW -26-12-2016

CNX-NIFTY

Open-7972.50—High-8022.60---Low—7942.05—Close—7985.75 on
23-12-2016

Support:- 7952.55/7946/7938/7927/7916.40/7897/7859/7807/7735-7714.

Resistance:- 7988/7992/8002.25/8021/8056.86/8077.50/8108.50/8132.50/8224.50/8230.65/8244/8257.42/8261.75/8274.95.

As envisaged it made a recovery after hitting a low of 7942.05 and went up to make a high of 8022.60 for the day before closing positive but merely by 6.64 points and that too after seven days of fall, which shows gross weakness in it. However this relief rally may continue for few days provided it holds 7979 level on the closing basis. Moving up the relief rally may get exhausted at any of the following points 8021/8070/8109/8148/8197; use these points as the trailing stop loss in both side trades. It is needles to mention here that the relief or pullback rallies are treacherous in nature and can end abruptly therefore traders should be very careful in long trades because they may get trapped at higher levels. Please note that close below 7979 may trigger fresh fall but since it has strong support in the range of 7952.55---7897.25 therefore fall will only accelerate if it sustains below 7897.25 level. It is therefore suggested to stay neutral in the range of 7916—7897 and take action with the market movement at that point of time.

The trend is down therefore it is suggested to avoid long call in general but in view of the above observation  those traders who want to take advantage of the expected continuation of today’s short up move , can try long call if it sustain above 7992 with a stop loss of below 7970 for a target of 8021/8057/8077. Similarly short call can be tried if it trades below 7979 for some time with a stop loss of above 8003 for a target of 7942/7927/7916/7897/7859/7829.

Remark: - The uptrend is severely threatened and it is already in the downtrend now. After seven days of straight fall it had a very short up day today and it may continue for another 2-3 days, but the overall technical setup is very weak, therefore it is suggested to avoid long trade in general. But now it is in midst of such a situation therefore at this point of time both side trade can be tried depending upon market movement and as suggested above. The overall technical setup is hugely bearish now.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss pointsDO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here is of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit  trade.



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Thank you for sharing your views.