Monday, 2 May 2016

CNX--BANK NIFTY- A TECHNICAL VIEW – 3-5-2016

CNX--BANK NIFTY

Closed at 16543 on 2-5-2016(Open-16614/High-16674.15/Low-16519.55)

Support: 16526/16386/16349.70/16282.75/16205/16188/16141.65/16099.65/16080.55/16011/15958/15762.20/15682.65/15522/15440.25/15178.30/14989.40/14761/14754/14445/13810.6013407.25.

Resistance: 16587.25/16648.30/16726/16750/16824.05/16922.05/16932.50 - 17067.45/17174.70/17246.55/17498.35/17502.45/17719/18029.05.

It exhibited gross weakness today, it made lower top and broken recent bottom and is in the making of lower bottom on the line chart, it closed below its bear market threshold point of 16726 and it is running below its short term and some of its long term moving averages also which is a bad sign and indicates that the on-going down move may deepen further from here. Furthermore since it is making lower top and bottom therefore as of now it is clearly a sell on the rise market till it closes above 16795, but one should be alert in short trade above it. Please note that even if it closes above 16795 it will gather momentum only once it crosses the range of 16850----16940---17030---17068. In view of the above observation long trade should be avoided below 16850. Moving down it will find support from its long term moving averages at 16385/16240/16100/15960 and from its Fibonacci retracement points at 16422/16234/16046/15815. It may stage a relief rally from any of these points, so watch out.

Please note that the range for the on-going week is between 17030—16526. It did break the lower band of the range today but managed to close above it. Please note that if it breaks the lower band of 16526 again and sustain then long trade should be avoided for the entire week, instead short call should be tried for sure.

  
TRADING OPTION FOR-3-5-2016

 1. Sell on the rise but not above 16795 with a stop loss of above 16850.    

3. Sell below 16526 for sure with a stop loss of above 16630 for a target of 16386/16349/16282/16205.

Remark: - Since it is making lower top and bottom on the line chart long trade is ruled out for now, instead short call can be tried as suggested above. Please initiate your trade after watching the market for at least 30-45 minutes.  

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
                                                                                     
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Note: Price stated here is of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit the trade.





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Thank you for sharing your views.