Thursday, 15 October 2015

CNX--BANK NIFTY--A TECHNICAL VIEW--16-10-2015

CNX--BANK NIFTY

Closed at 17686.10 on 15-10-15.

Support:-17652.35/17502.45/17401.20/17246/17174/17070/16759/16670.

Resistance:-17719/17729/17739/17821.90/17842.10/18035/18174.20.

It has been oscillating in the range of 17760—17400 for last six days ,neither giving up-side breakout from the neckline of 17765 nor breaking down and close below its critical support point of 17536.88(it changes every day) and recent bottom of 17434.05 & 17401.20 on the bar chart. Please note that today it has given one positive sign by making higher bottom and higher top on the line chart by crossing the recent major top of 17674.05. Looking at today’s move the up-side breakout from the neckline looks like a possibility now and may happen in 2-3 days time. However please note that it will give first sign of crack if it breaks and close below its most critical support point of 17536.88(it changes every day) and sustain then close below the bottom of 17401.20 on the bar chart and sustain and finally break and close below 17170 will confirm the end of this rally similarly a sustained up- side breakout from the neckline point of 17765 will show strength and a good up move, therefore long trade should only be initiated  if it sustain the said breakout for some time.



TRADING STRATEGY FOR-16-10-15

1.It  would be safe to try long call only  if it sustain above 17765  for at least one hour with a stop loss of below 17640.

2. Aggressive day trader can try long call above 17536.88 with a stop loss of below 17450. It could be a risky trade

3. Short call can be tried if it maintains below 17400 with a stop loss of above 17540.

Remark:-The long term trend is still down but short and intermediate trend is looking up .Today’s move was encouraging as it has established higher top and bottom on the line chart thereby giving some hope of an upside breakout from the neckline. Therefore long call should only be tried if it sustain the breakout for some time.  

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss pointsDO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
                                                                                      
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Note: Price stated here is of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit the trade.


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