Wednesday, 18 February 2015

NIFTY---CNX BANK INDEX----BSE SENSEX---Technical View For---19-2-2015

NIFTY CLOSED AT 8869.10 ON 18-2-2015

SUPPORT: - 8841 / 8822.10 / 8808.90 / 8802.50 / 8795 / 8733 / 8671 / 8626.95 / 8593 / 8535.35 / 8470 / 8445.6 / 8364 / 8282.70 / 8272.80 / 8236 / 8180 / 8160 / 8147.95 / 8065.45 / 7961.35.

 RESISTANCE: - 8873 / 8996.60 / 9040 / 9065 / 9338.

Nifty crossed 76.40% retracement level point intra-day today which was at 8872.44 but closed the day a shade lower then that at 8869.10. Technically it is showing good strength but it seem that here it is looking bit heavy and today was the 6th straight day of rise also so it may encounter a small correction here before it moves up again or it may continue the up run for few days more before correction happens, I would therefore suggest to take a cautious approach and try fresh long call on 19-2-2015 only if it maintains above today’s high of 8894.30,therefore I would still suggest to book profit below 8894.30 mark on existing long trade and reduce your long trade exposure to a reasonable  extent before the Union Budget so that you can handle the expected volatility after the budget in a better way. The range for it is now between 8900—8800, so long trade can be tried above 8894.30 on 19-2-2015 with a stop loss of below 8850 or near 8810 with a stop loss of below 8780 similarly if it fails to cross 8894.30 mark and  consistently trades below it then aggressive intra-day trader can try short call also with a stop loss of above 8915. Please note that long call should be avoided below 8800 for sure.


CNX-Bank Index closed at 19296.50. on 18-2-2015

SUPPORT: - 19166 /18923.60 / 18736.65 / 18728.20 /18428 / 18226 / 18211.50 / 18183 / 17890 / 17502.45.

RESISTANCE: - 19445 / 19568 / 19778.95 / 19844 / 19884 / 19992 / 20275 / 20610 / 20907.55

Index is not exhibiting the strength in fact it is looking weak on the technical chart in comparison with Nifty & Bse Sensex, furthermore it has tremendous hurdles in the range of 19500---19884. I would therefore suggest to exit long trade now and on the rise too and try it only if it moves above 19550 and stays or near its critical support level of 18923 & 18728 with a stop loss of below 18850 & 18780 respectively but note that below 18728 fresh long call should be completely avoided. Aggressive intra- day trader can try short call below 19160 with a stop loss of above 19240 for a target of 18950 on 19-2-2015.





BSE- Sensex  closed at 29320.26 on 18-2-2015

SUPPORT: - 29278 / 29183 / 29160 / 29144 / 28822.37 / 28731 / 28469 / 28406 / 28064.49 / 28044 / 27851 / 27739 / 27499.42 / 27485.77 / 27203.25 / 27091 / 26776.12 / 26469.42.

RESISTANCE: - 29420 / 29844.16.

Sensex is moving up in rhythm and it has almost hit the 76.40% retracement mark today which was  at 29420 furthermore today was the 6th straight  day of rise also so it may encounter a small correction here before it moves up again or may continue the up run for few more days before correction happens, I would therefore suggest to take cautious approach and try fresh long call on 19-2-2015 only if it maintains above  29420,therefore I would still suggest to book profit below 29420 mark on existing long trade and reduce your long trade exposure to a reasonable  extent before the Union Budget so that you can handle the expected volatility after the budget in a better way. The range for it is now between 28822---29420, so long trade can be tried above 29420 on 19-2-2015 with a stop loss of below 29380, similarly if it fails to cross 29420 mark and consistently trades below it then aggressive intra-day trader can try short call also with a stop loss of above 29450.

Kindly note that profit should also be booked in trade from time to time at the appropriate points so that you can take advantage of the market swings. Use support and resistance levels for entry, exit and trailing stop losses.


Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Note: Price stated here is of spot market.
Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit the trade.




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