NIFTY CLOSED AT 7791.70 ON 14-8-14
SUPPORT: -
/ 7731.05 / 7721.30 / 7700.05 / 7662.50
/ 7598.60 / 7593.90 / 7563.50 / 7540.10 / 7487.50 / 7481.30 / 7447.20/ 7441.60 / 7422.15 / 7206.70 / 7118.45.
RESISTANCE:-7796.70
/ 7799/90 / 7808.85 / 7840.95 / 7870 / 8060 / 8130.
(Figures
in bold are important)
Nifty opened gap up for the week
under review and stood firm throughout the week and had a rise of 228 points, it
made a low of 7598.60 and high of 7796.70 for the week and before closing the week near the high point at
7791.70.The entire week’s movement shows strength in it but I would like to add
here that this whole up move lacked volumes, therefore it is buy on dip now but take long calls with some
caution and off course with an adequate stop loss. One should avoid short call
now and only think of it if nifty closes below 7760.
TECHNICAL VIEW
1.
ON DAILY CHART:-It
looks ok on the daily chart but the on -going up move lacked volumes so be
circumspect in long trade, however it has decisively moved above the upper band
of short term DMA range and stayed there for 3 days already, the range of short term DMA is between 7712—7680(it changes every
day)for 18-8-14, therefore as of now it is buy on dip but be alert in long call
if it starts trading below 7760 and get
out of the long trade if closes below 7680. Going up it will face tough
resistance at 7808.85,7840.95 & 7870
2.
ON WEEKLY CHART:-
It is ok on the chart . Furthermore it
is also above the upper band of the short
term DMA range which is between 7650—7308(for the next week) starting
from-18-8-14
The strong
negative divergence are still there and if it comes into play then it could
take nifty down to 7459.60,7229 & 6694.80 levels but as I always say that
divergence should be viewed in sync with the moving average placements and
since nifty is decisively above the upper band of the short term DMA on the
daily chart as well as on the weekly chart, therefore negative divergence will
take a back seat as of now till it breaks the short term DMA range lower band
again.
REMARK:-
Long term
trend is still up, and it seems that the last week’s correction may be over, so
as of now it is buy on dip market but since last week’s up move lacked volumes therefore one should be
cautious in long trade and get alerted if it trades below 7760 and get out of
the long trade if it closes below 7680.
Kindly
note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as
the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and
resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS
Note: Price stated here is of spot market
Contact
me for strategic guidance to enter and exit the trade
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Thank you for sharing your views.