Commodities

Sunday, 22 June 2014

GOLD--Technical View For The Week Starting From-23-6-14



                                                                   


                                                                      GOLD IN $ TERMS


Gold closed at $1316.60 on 20-6-14

Range for the week ended on 20-6-14 was:-$1322.50---1258.

SUPPORT:-1287 / 1272 / 1258.

RESISTANCE:-1322.50 / 1331.40 / 1355 / 1361.80 / 1377 / 1392.60

Gold after making a low of 1258 moved up sharply during the week and hit a high of 1322.50 before closing the week near  the  highest  point , this indicates that there is further room for up move in it.

TECHNICAL   OBSERVATION  :-
1.       It is almost above its all long term and short term moving averages   except for one which is at 1322, if it starts trading above this then good up move is expected. The range  of  important moving   averages are between 1322---1272.therefore it is expected to move in the range and break on either side of the range will decide up or down move.

2.        The  technical  parameters  are  showing  positive  divergence  and it can only  come into play if it  remains above 1322 and if it does then  it could cross 1331.40 / 1355 / 1361.80 level in time to come, chances of which are looking reasonably good  because it has also given a up -side breakout during the week on the bar chart after a long time.

3.       Technically   the   trend   looks   steady   with an upward bias as long as it holds the moving average range.

MY VIEW:-

I expect   the gold to hold the level of 1287 on the down side and to cross at least 1331.40 level on the up -side   and   come near   to 1355 point. Those who have long position now can hold on with a stop loss of 1305, one can add to long position if it starts trading above 1322.50 with a stop loss of 1314 for a target of 1331.40 and 1345.

REMARKS:-Short term trend is looking up therefore buy on dip strategy is advised for the time being, buy at the appropriate levels with an adequate stop loss. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price moves up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses.

 Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit the trade

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