CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open-40556.65-High-40643.60-Low-40195.20-Close-40373.20 on
19.10.2022.
Support: 40288.90/40160.20/40043/39895/39546.50/39424.85/39301.25/ 39197/39117.15//38855.55/38765.55/38437.95/38426.65/38377.35/38134/38112.75/37988.60/37708.75/37581.05/37471/37386.35/37238/36993/36876.35/36718.80/36651.85/36497.35/36375.35/36332/36083.70/35985.25/35926/35810.90/35762/35585.20/35543.10/35511/35481.70.
Resistance: 40453/40685.95/40881/41367.25/41829.60/41840.15/42696/44461/45525/45633.
(Bold and underlined figures
are most important)
It opened with an up
gap and went up further but could not sustain at the upper level and slipped
and in the process filled the today’s gap and finally ended the day with a meager
gain of 54.45 points. Please note that the gap it created on 18.10.2022 and 14.10.2022 is still
there and if it makes an effort to fill the gap in the next 3-4 & 1 trading sessions
respectively which is technically possible then it can come down to 39974 & 39061 levels, but if it
does not fill the gap in the stipulated time then chances of filling the gap
will recede.
It is well above
its most critical and important point of
39895, please note that if it
sustain above it on the closing basis then the up move should continue with
intermittent correction and then it could retest it’s all time high of 41840.15 or may go beyond it also,
similarly sustain break below it may drag it down. Moving up from here it will get
resistance at 40665---40789---40819---40950---41677.65---41829.60---41840.15
points, it is likely to correct from any of these points and may resume the
up move again. Similarly going down it
may find good support at 40138---40123---40039---39953---39895---39875----39586.44---39546.48---39436---39200---38885---38759---38715---38497----38437---38399---38235---38029---37911---37830,
break below 40123 will be an alert
sign, sustained break below 39895 may
weaken the up momentum and can drag
it down and break below 39875(figure may
change) may push it into corrective mode for its recent rise, which please
note.
The overall technical setup looks good as of now. Furthermore all the
four important technical indicators are positive on the daily chart this is an extremely
good sign for the continuation of the up move, provided it manages to hold its
critical point of 39895 on the closing basis. Please
note that it is exhibiting volatility and I have time and again said that the
volatility is not good for a steady up move, although technical setup, price
pattern and indicators are all good at this point of time but because of
volatility it all can turn bad in just 2-3 trading session, therefore be
extremely alert and cautious in the long trade now for some time. The bias is up as of now.
In view of the above observation, long
trade can be tried if it moves above 40486
and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 40350 or can try buy on decline at appropriate points or near 39895 but not below it with a stop loss of 39750. Although, it is out of major corrective mode and is in up
momentum but short trade can also be tried on the rise or on the price break
down for intraday gains. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 40650---40750 with a stop loss of 40850 or sell if it moves below 39750 with a stop loss of 39970. Please note that highly aggressive
trader can also try short trade if it moves below 40195 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 40410, but it could be a risky bet mind
you. It is still in the long term uptrend.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down
before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap
up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing
volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you
don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off
is strongly suggested in any case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
m for
strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.