CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open-38516.95-High-39606.55-Low-38472.70-Close-39536.75 on
30.8.2022.
Support: 39424.85/39197/39117.15/38855.55/38765.55/38377.35/38426.65/38134/38112.75/37988.60/37708.75/37581.05/37471/37238/36993/36876.35/36718.80/36651.85/36497.35/36375.35/36332/36083.70/35985.25/35926/35810.90/35762/35585.20/35543.10/35511/35481.70.
Resistance:39546.50/39656.15/39895/40160.20/41367.25/41829.60.
(Bold and underlined figures
are most important)
After yesterday’s
sharp fall it rallied in an unprecedented manner today and ended the day near
the high of the day with a whopping gain of 1260.05 points, this type of move I have not witnessed in recent
years, please note that one day sharp fall and the very next day robust rise this
type of volatility is concerning and not good for a steady market,. But the
fact remains that after making lower top and bottom recently on the line and
bar chart it has crossed its recent tops on the line and bar chart both but yet
to make higher bottom, it has also bounced back above its all short term moving
averages, it exhibited extra ordinary strength today, therefore it seems that
today’s rally may have reversed the downtrend, however it has to be watched
over the next 2-3 trading session
for the confirmation of the reversal because these types of moves may fizzle out fast also as it had happened
in the past too, therefore confirmation is a must. Please note that to continue
the strong up momentum it has to move above its critical and most important
resistance point of 39546.50---39656.15---39759.15---39895---40160.20---41367.65—41829.60, if it moves above
39895 and sustain on the closing basis then it could retest it’s all time high of 41829.60 or may go beyond it also else it could drift down again. Similarly
moving down it will have strong support points at 39536.75---39396---39214.15---39166—38796---38134---37943.85---37755.55,
break below 39166 will push it into short term
correction mode again and break below 38796
will weaken it further and break below 37943.85
may accelerate the fall which may please be noted.
The technical setup
has improved with today’s sharp up move but it has to be watched over for the
next 2-3 trading session whether this up move will sustain or not, because
almost all important technical indicators except for one are still showing
distinct weakness on the daily chart, therefore if these indicators do not turn
positive shortly then weakness in indicators may still come into play and can
drag it down. Please note that the indicators can turn positive only if the
sharp up move continues for few days. It is important to mention here that a
vertical rise may have a vertical fall too and vice a versa as it happened in
last two days, so be watchful.
In view of the above observation, long
trade can be tried if it moves above 39607
and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 39440 or can buy on decline near or within the range of 38860---38650 with a stop loss of 38460. It is suggested to avoid long
trade on decline for the day. Although it seems that downtrend is reversed but
confirmation is awaited therefore short trade can also be tried after
reasonable rise or on price breakdown for intraday corrective gain. Sell on the
rise near or within the range of 40150---40250
with a stop loss of 40400 or
sell if it moves below 39440 with a
stop loss of 39607. Please note that
looking at today move sell on the price breakdown would be a relatively safe
trade but aggressive traders can try both. The short term trend is positive now,
medium and long term trend still looks o.k. as of now. However in light of
today’s move be alert and cautious in next 2-3
trading sessions.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
m for
strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.