CNX-NIFTY
Open—25333.75---High—25440.90---Low---24571.75--Close---24825.45 on 1.2.2026
Support:24792.30/24753.15/24694.35/24587.70/24537.60/24502.15/24498.20/24494.45/24473/24462.40/24404.70/24337.50/24226.70/24198.75/24141.80/24099.70/24094.20/24073.90/23938.85/23935.75/23893.70/23873.35/23869.65/23847.45/23816.15/23807.30/23667.20/23664/23644.80/23637.65/23484.15/23537/23426.30/23391.65/23338.70/23263.15/23110.80/23049.95/23047.25/22976.85/22794.70/22786.90/22775.70/22768.40/22676.75/22625.30/22577.40/22546/22525.65/22502/22314.70/22303.80/22281/22165/22124.70/22104.85/21964.60/21875.25/21860.65/21821.05/21777.65/21710.20/21530.20/21448.65/21281.45/21137.20/21021.88/20976.80/20769.50/20291.50/20222.45/19991.85/19839/19333.60.
Resistance:24854.80/24857.75/24882.30/24918.65/24919.90/25008.20/25079.80/25153.65/25255.30/25318.45/25448.50/25548.70/25669.35/25693.25/25718.20/25726.80/25740.80/25842.95/25891/25057.60/26097.85/26104.20/26129.60/26173.30/26202.60/26236.40/26246.65/26277.35/26325.80/26340/26357/26374/26404/26458/26497/26567/26594/26650/26678/26694/26717/26816/26842/26995/27001/27095/27212/27293/27375/27510/27824.
OVERALL VIEW
ON THE DAILY CHART:
--
It opened on a positive note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a colossal loss of 495.20 points. It is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points on downside are 24164, 22923, 22468 & 22254- gap point on the upside25662.40) also on the downside/upside, which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility, this is not a good sign for a steady market.
The technical setup has got a severe jolt today and made it extremely weak,, it is into deep correction mode for its recent rise, below almost all the recent key points, below short term rising trend line, below major long term rising trend line, below all the short term moving average on the daily, weekly and below majority on the monthly chart, below all medium term moving average on the daily chart and below majority on the weekly chart and most importantly after a long time it is below all its long term moving averages thereby potentially threatened the long term uptrend, almost all the important technical indicators are weak on the daily, weekly & monthly chart. Therefore all together it is highly concerning and can drag it down further. Moving down further it will find next critical support points at 24753.15---24744---24587---24404.70—24337---23935.75---23847.85 (figures will change daily), it may bounce back from any of these points, but break & sustained close below 24744 can drag it down to 24337 levels or much lower.
Moving up the key resistance points could be at 24857.75----24944.80----24996.89---25062---25318.45----25379----25471---25575-----25590-----25693.25----25718.40---25726.30---25740.80-------25742----25842.95----25891—--25892.77------25951.82----26012.91----26051.13---------26104.20----26124.28---26129.60----26173.30---26212.73----26223.88---26246.65----26256.33----26277.35—26325.80---26373.20 (some figures may change daily or at some point of time) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move again or may halt the up-move for a while. Please note that if it moves above the range of 24996.89---25062 and sustain on the closing basis then it may give a ray of hope that it can extend the up-move , if it moves above 25318.45 and sustain on the closing basis then it will raise good hope for extending the up-move, if it moves above the range of 25471---25575-----25590 and sustain on the closing basis then it may gain some strength for extension of the up-move, if it moves above 25693.25 it will raise good hope and also give good strength for extending the up move further and finally if it moves above 26012.91 and sustain on the closing basis then it is likely to retest its all-time high of 26373.20 or may go beyond it. But please note that to keep the hope of continued up move alive in the year—2026 it has to move above 26129.60----26173.30 and sustain on the closing basis and to get back into strong up-momentum track in the year—2026 it has to moves above 26325.80 and sustain on the closing basis, else it may start to drift down. The long term uptrend is potentially threatened and it is into deep correction mode now.
IMPORTANT
NOTE: - THE IMPORTANT
POINTS FOR THE YEAR--2026 ARE 26129.60---26173.30---26325.80 AND TO KEEP THE HOPE ALIVE FOR A CONTINUED
UP-MOVE IT HAS TO SUSTAIN ABOVE 26129.60---26173.30 AND TO GET INTO STRONG UP MOMENTUM IT HAS TO MOVE ABOVE 26325.80 AND SUSTAIN ON THE CLOSING BASIS THROUGH-OUT THE YEAR , ELSE
IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT ON THE CHART;-
POSITIVE POINTS:-
1. It is in the
neutral/oversold zone and VM is in the buy mode and RSI with positive
divergence as of now, so it may witness up rally at times but that may not last.
2. It is above only two of its short term moving averages on
the monthly chart.
3. It is above few
of its medium-term moving averages on the weekly & above all on the monthly
chart.
NEGATIVE POINTS:-
1. Almost all the
important indicators such as EV, MACD, PS & ADX are in the sell mode, so
down move may happen at times and may extend also.
2. It is below all of
its short term moving average on the daily & weekly chart and below four
out of six averages on the monthly chart.
3. It is below all its
medium term moving average on the daily chart and below few on the weekly chart.
4. It is below all of
its long term moving average on the daily chart and the averages are placed at
25575---25475---25373---25313---25304---25210---25166---25104--25062(figure
will change daily), very weak sign.
In view of the above observation there is a mixed
possibility and it can swing both ways but with a downward--bias as of now.
Furthermore please
also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in
the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore
fall also cannot be ruled out in coming weeks & months. Please keep an eye
on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further
directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART:-
WEEKLY CHART: - Almost all the important indicators are such as MACD, ST, PS, ADX, EV & VM is in the sell mode, RSI is neutral, but it is in the oversold zone, so it may give relief rally at time but that may not last, so overall bias is down as of now.
MONTHLY CHART: -Few indicators are in buy mode such as PS & ADX, but key indicator such as MACD, ST, & VM are in the sell mode, it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI. Therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with slight tilt towards down-side as of now; therefore, further fall in the coming months cannot be ruled out, so be watchful.
IT
IS SELL ON THE RISE MARKET NOW;-
It is into deep correction mode and below its important key points, therefore now it will be sell on the rise market now till it moves above 24996.89---25062 and sustain on the closing basis. But long trade can also be tried on sharp decline and near critical support points or range, for intraday gains.
STRENGTH:-
1. It is still above its most critical 3rd, 4th & 5th make or break bottom of 24587.70---24337.50 & 21743.65 sustained close above it will keep the hope alive of resuming the up-move again.
WEAKNESS: -.
1. Volatility and wild swing can
be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market
condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming
days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. To get back into strong up-momentum track it
has to move above 26277.35
& 26325.80 and sustain on the closing basis, else it
may drift down.
3. It is
into deep correction mode now as it is below all its threshold point of 26256.33----26223.88---26220.53----26212.73----26124.28---26051.13---25951.82----25892.77 sustained close below these
points can drag it down further.
4. It is below all its short-term
moving averages now on the daily chart and the important average range for day
is 25590---25477----25379--25282—25240---25198 (figure will change every day), sustained close below this range can drag
it down further.
5. It is below its 1st & 2nd downtrend line, which is placed at 25200---26076(figure will change daily) for the day, it is a negative sign.
6. It is below its major
long-term rising trend line which is placed at 25922 for the month of February-2026; sustained close below it may witness an accelerated fall.
7. It is below its major long-term
rising trend drawn from the bottom of 7511
made on 20.3.2020, which is placed
at 25792(figure will change
and inch up every day) for the day, sustained close below it may witness an accelerated fall.
8. It is below its most critical 1st & 2nd make or break bottom of 25693.25--25318.45 sustained close below it can drag it down sharply.
9. It has broken its recent
bottom on the line and bar chart both, but yet to make lower top, so watch out.
10. The price
action was negative today.
11. It is below its short term rising trend line, which is placed at 25140(figure will change every day), it is a weak sign.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade
can be tried on decline near or within the range of 24610---24587 if it holds this range
for some time then with a stop loss of 24500 for a possible intraday gain, else avoid. Please note that
long trade in a corrective market could be a risky affair, but can be tried
near critical support points for intraday gains.
2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 25030---25060
with a stop loss of 25130 or can sell near 24919 if it remains
below it for some time, then with a stop loss of 25080. It
could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at
all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the
above view.
Kindly note that make your cost your
stop loss in favorable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated here are of spot
market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
Email--- suranank@gmail.com
