CNX-NIFTY
Open—25258.85---High—25372.10---Low---25187.65--Close---25342.75 on 28.1.2026
Support:25318.45/24255.30/25153.65/25079.80/25008.20/24918.65/24882.30/24857.75/24854.80/24792.30/24753.15/24694.35/24587.70/24537.60/24502.15/24498.20/24494.45/24473/24462.40/24404.70/24337.50/24226.70/24198.75/24141.80/24099.70/24094.20/24073.90/23938.85/23935.75/23893.70/23873.35/23869.65/23847.45/23816.15/23807.30/23667.20/23664/23644.80/23637.65/23484.15/23537/23426.30/23391.65/23338.70/23263.15/23110.80/23049.95/23047.25/22976.85/22794.70/22786.90/22775.70/22768.40/22676.75/22625.30/22577.40/22546/22525.65/22502/22314.70/22303.80/22281/22165/22124.70/22104.85/21964.60/21875.25/21860.65/21821.05/21777.65/21710.20/21530.20/21448.65/21281.45/21137.20/21021.88/20976.80/20769.50/20291.50/20222.45/19991.85/19839/19333.60.
Resistance:25448.50/25548.70/25669.35/25693.25/25718.20/25726.80/25740.80/25842.95/25891/25057.60/26097.85/26104.20/26129.60/26173.30/26202.60/26236.40/26246.65/26277.35/26325.80/26340/26357/26374/26404/26458/26497/26567/26594/26650/26678/26694/26717/26816/26842/26995/27001/27095/27212/27293/27375/27510/27824.
OVERALL VIEW
ON THE DAILY CHART:
--
It opened with an up-gap and thereafter had both side moves during the day and in the process filled the gap of the day and finally, ended the day with a gain of 167.35 points. It is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points on downside are 24164, 22923, 22468 & 22254- gap point on the upside25662.40) also on the downside/upside, which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility, this is not a good sign for a steady market.
The technical setup is very weak, it is into deep correction mode for its recent rise, below almost all the recent key points, below short term rising trend line, below major long term rising trend line, below all the short term moving average on the daily, weekly and below few on the monthly chart, below all medium term moving average on the daily chart and few below on the weekly chart and most importantly after a long time it is below few of its long term moving averages thereby threatening the long term uptrend, few important technical indicators are weak on the daily chart. Therefore all together it is highly concerning and can drag it down further. But the good thing is that it has made higher top on the line chart and bounced back above few key points of 25318.45---25262.80(PTP) and as long as it holds these points chances of up-move will be alive, else it may drift down again. Moving down further it will find next critical support points at 25271---25269----25170----25164---25065---25063---24944.80----24857.75----24744 (figures will change daily), it may bounce back from any of these points, but break & sustained close below 25063 will be a potential threat for the long term uptrend and then it may witness an accelerated fall and break & sustained close below 24944.80 & 24744 can drag it down to 24587 & 24337 levels or below.
Moving up the key resistance points could be at 25375----25469---25571---25591-----25688-------25693.25---25718.40---25720----25726.30---25740.80-------25842.95----25891—--25892.77------25951.82----26051.13-----26104.20----26124.28---26129.60----26173.30---26212.73----26223.88---26246.65----26256.33----26277.35—26325.80---26373.20 (some figures may change daily or at some point of time) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move again or may halt the up-move for a while. Please note that if it moves above 25571 and sustain on the closing basis it may give a ray of hope that it can extend the up-move further, if it moves above the range of 25591-----25688-------25693.25 it will raise good hope for extending the up move, if it moves above 25720 and sustain on the closing basis then it may gain some strength for the up-move extension, if it moves above the range of 26104.20----26124.28---26129.60----26173.30 it will gain good strength and will be a positive sign for continued up-move, if it moves above the range of 26212.73----26223.88---26246.65----26256.33 and sustain on the closing basis then it will get out of correction mode and may resume the up-move and if it moves above 26277.35 & 26325.80 and sustain on the closing basis then it may get back into strong up-momentum track again, else it may drift down. It is in the strong long-term uptrend, but into deep correction mode now.
IMPORTANT
NOTE: - THE IMPORTANT
POINTS FOR THE YEAR--2026 ARE 26129.60---26173.30---26325.80 AND TO KEEP THE HOPE ALIVE FOR A CONTINUED
UP-MOVE IT HAS TO SUSTAIN ABOVE 26129.60---26173.30 AND TO GET INTO STRONG UP MOMENTUM IT HAS TO MOVE ABOVE 26325.80 AND SUSTAIN ON THE CLOSING BASIS THROUGH-OUT THE YEAR , ELSE
IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT ON THE CHART;-
POSITIVE POINTS:-
1. It is in the
neutral/oversold zone and VM & ST is in the buy mode , so it may witness up
rally at times, but that may not sustain.
2. It is above few
of its long term moving averages on the daily chart, which is placed at 25271—25269---25170----25164---25066---25063 (figure will change daily)
for the day.
3. It is above almost all of its short term moving averages
on the on the monthly chart.
4. It is above few
of its medium-term moving averages on the weekly & above all on the monthly
chart.
NEGATIVE POINTS:-
1. Almost all the
important indicators such as EV, MACD, PS & ADX are in the sell mode, so
down move may happen at times and may extend also.
2. It is below all its
short term moving average on the daily & weekly chart and below few on the
averages on the monthly chart.
3. It is below all its
medium term moving average on the daily chart and below few on the weekly chart.
4. It is below more
than half of its long term moving average on the daily chart and the averages
are placed at 25571---25471---25373(figure will change daily), very weak sign.
In view of the above observation there is a mixed
possibility and it can swing both ways but with a downward--bias as of now.
Furthermore please
also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in
the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore
fall also cannot be ruled out in coming weeks & months. Please keep an eye
on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further
directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART:-
WEEKLY CHART: - Almost all the important indicators are such as MACD, ST, PS, ADX, EV & VM is in the sell mode, but RSI is with slight positive divergence and it is in the oversold zone, so it may give relief rally at time but that may not last, so overall bias is down as of now.
MONTHLY CHART: -Few indicators are in buy mode such as ST, PS & ADX, but key indicator such as MACD, & VM are in the sell mode, it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI. Therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with slight tilt towards down-side as of now; therefore, further fall in the coming months cannot be ruled out, so be watchful.
IT
IS BUY ON DECLINE MARKET NOW;-
It is still into deep correction mode but bounced back above key points, therefore now it will be buy on decline market now till it sustain above 25318.45---25262.80(PTP) on the closing basis. But short trade can also be tried on sharp rise and near critical resistance points or range, for intraday corrective gains.
STRENGTH:-
1. It is above its most critical 2nd, 3rd, 4th & 5th make or break bottom of 25318.45----24587.70---24337.50 & 21743.65 sustained close above it will keep the hope alive of resuming the up-move again.
2. It made higher top on the line
chart today but yet to make higher bottom, so watch out.
3. It is above its 1st downtrend line, which is placed at 25190(figure will change daily) for the day, it is a good sign.
4. The price
action was positive today.
WEAKNESS: -.
1. Volatility and wild swing can
be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market
condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming
days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. To get back into strong up-momentum track
it has to move above 26277.35
& 26325.80 and sustain on the closing basis, else it
may drift down.
3. It is
into deep correction mode now as it is below all its threshold point of 26256.33----26223.88---26220.53----26212.73----26124.28---26051.13---25951.82----25892.77 sustained close below these
points can drag it down further.
4. It is below almost all (except
for one) its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the
important average range for day is 25720---25585----25521--25393—25291
(figure will change every
day), sustained
close below this range can drag it down further.
5. It is below its 2nd downtrend line, which is placed at 26064(figure will change daily) for the day, it is a negative sign.
6. It still has lower bottom
& top on the line chart & bar chart.
7. It is below its major
long-term rising trend line which is placed at 25591 for the month of January-2026; sustained close below it may witness an accelerated fall.
8. It is below its major long-term
rising trend drawn from the bottom of 7511
made on 20.3.2020, which is placed
at 25688(figure will change
and inch up every day) for the day, sustained close below it may witness an accelerated fall.
9. It is below its most critical 1st make or break bottom of 25693.25sustained close below it can drag it down sharply.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade
can be tried on decline near or within the range of 25319---25265 if it holds this range
for some time then with a stop loss of 25170 for a possible intraday gain, else avoid. Please note that
long trade in a corrective market could be a risky affair, but can be tried
near critical support points for intraday gains.
2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 25450---25480
with a stop loss of 25540 or can sell if it moves below 25260
and maintain for some time, then with a stop loss of 25330. It
could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at
all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the
above view.
Kindly note that make your cost your
stop loss in favorable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated here are of spot
market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
Email--- suranank@gmail.com
