CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open—59305.15---High—59400.15--Low—58346.25---Close—58473.10 on 23.1.2026.
Support:58469.90/58050/57628.40/57594.25/57482.05/57363.70/57157.85/57049.50/56623.60/56594.25/56204.85/56098.70/55821/55695/55547.35/55475.45/55149.30/54905.60/54576.60/54467.35/54226.60/54176.45/53888.30/53561,75/53483.05/53357.70/52794.95/52782.75/52760.20/52577.50/52493.95/52354.85/51979.75/51749.45/51749.45/51693.50/51138.90/51133.20/51000.90/50947.70/50860.20/50841.90/50641.75/50438.30/50382.10/50369.40/50194.30/49974.75/49904.40/49836.10/49787.10/49688.80/49654.65/49459/49300/49162.65/49057.40/48972.55/48906.05/48839.10/48734.35/48636.45/48525.60/48292.25/48203.45/48161.75/48074.05/47898.35/47844.15/47702.90/47363.40/46983.75/46077.85/45828.80/45661.75/44633.85/44429/43600.25/43345.45/43230.95/42582.20/42105.40.
Resistance:58577.50/59649.50/58688.55/58712.70/58799.90/58925.70/59440.10/59478.15/59545.70/59581.85/59674.80/59806.60/60114.30/60203.75/60231/60354/60473.20/60496/60650/60702/60736/60955/60980/61041/61342/.
OVERALL, VIEW: --
It opened on a positive note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a huge loss of 727 points. It is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points are 56922.70, 55616.45,51361, 51244 & 50496), which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility and it is not a good sign for a steady market.
The technical setup is very weak, it is into deep correction mode now, it still has lower top & bottom on the line chart, below all the short term moving averages on the daily chart and below more than half on the weekly chart, below few medium term moving average on the daily chart and all the important technical indicators are weak on the daily chart and also below majority of key support points, therefore all together these developments are concerning and can drag it down further. However moving down if it manages to holds its critical & key points of 57742---57157.85(figures may change) on the closing basis then there will be a slim chances that it could bounce back for a while may resume the up-move again. It is into deep correction mode now and finally break & sustained close below 57742 & 57157.85 (figure may change) may witness an accelerated fall and it will threaten the long term uptrend and then the correction could be more painful time-wise and price-wise both and the possible support points could be at 56910.45---56744.27 and please note that break & sustained close below 56744.27 can drag it down to 55821 levels or below, which may please be noted.
Moving up the target or resistance points could be at 58649.50----58712.70----58788.05(PTP) -----
58799.90-----58814.71----58925.70---58971.61----59347.89----59374----59507-----59581.85-------59663.39-----59674.80------59873.94-----60015.42----60030.33------60036.21---60114.30-----60123----60203.75---60221----60231---60354—60473.20---60496---60650---60736---60955 (some figures may change) (for complete
resistance points see the table on the upside) it may correct at any of these
points and then may resume the up-move again or may halt the up-move for a
while. Please note that if it moves above 58712.70----58788.05(PTP)
and sustain on the
closing basis then it may give a ray of hope that it can extend the up-move, if
it moves above the range of 59374----59507
and sustain on the closing basis then
it may raise hope for
extending the up-move further, if it moves above the range of 59581.85-----59674.80 and sustain on the closing basis then it may firm up for
extending the up-move, if it moves above the range of 59873.94-----60015.42----60030.33------60036.21 and sustain on the closing basis
then it will be out of corrective mode and may resume the up-move again and if
it moves above 60114.30 & 60123 and sustain on the closing basis then it may get back into
good up-momentum track again and may retest its all-time high of 60473.20
or may go beyond it also. It is in the
strong long-term uptrend but into deep correction mode now.
IMPORTANT
NOTE:
- THE
IMPORTANT POINTS FOR THE YEAR--2026 ARE 59581.85---59674.80---60114.30 AND TO KEEP THE HOPE ALIVE FOR A CONTINUED UP-MOVE IT HAS TO
SUSTAIN ABOVE 59581.85---59674.80 AND TO GET
INTO STRONG UP MOMENTUM IT HAS TO MOVE ABOVE 60114.30 AND SUSTAIN ON THE
CLOSING BASIS THROUGH-OUT THE YEAR , ELSE IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS
AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT;-
POSITIVE
POINTS:-
1. It is above few of
its short term moving averages on the weekly & above all on the monthly
chart.
2. it is above few of its medium term moving
averages on the daily, above all on the weekly& monthly chart.
3. It is
above all its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average
is placed at 57768(figure will change daily) for the day.
4. the
technical indicator VM is in the buy mode, so it may rally at times but that
may not last, so watch out.
NEGATIVE
POINTS:-
1. Almost all the
important indicators such as EV, MACD, PS, ST &
ADX is in the sell mode and RSI with negative divergence and it is still into slight
over bought zone, so down move may happen at times and it may extend also.
2. It is below all its short term moving average on the daily
& below more than half on the weekly chart.
3. It is below few of its medium term moving average on the
daily chart.
In view of the above observation there is a mixed possibility and it can swing
both ways as of now with downward bias as of now. Furthermore please also note that earlier vertical rise,
unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in the overbought zone on weekly &
monthly chart is still a concern, therefore fall also cannot be ruled out in
coming weeks & months. Please keep an eye on the critical resistance &
support points and price action for further directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -
WEEKLY CHART: - Almost all the important indicators are negative such as MACD, ST, PS, EV & ADX are in the sell mode and RSI is showing negative divergence, it is in the overbought zone, and only VM is in the buy mode, therefore in totality further fall also looks quite likely in coming weeks. But it may swing both ways with a downward bias as of now.
MONTHLY CHART:-Few indicators are in the buy mode such as MACD, PS & ADX but it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI and VM is in the sell mode, therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with a slight tilt towards up-side as of now.
IT IS SELL ON THE RISE
MARKET NOW;-
It is into deep correction mode and below almost all recent key points, therefore now it will be sell on the rise market now till it moves above 58712.70----58788.05(PTP) and sustain on the closing basis. But long trade can also be tried on sharp decline and near critical support points or range, for intraday gains.
STRENGTH: -
1. It is above
its most crucial 2nd bottom of 57157.85, if it sustains above, it on the closing basis then
the chances of the up-move will be alive, else it may correct sharply.
2. It is above its major long-term rising trend line which is
placed at 58035 for
the month of January-2026, it is a good sign.
3. Its major long term rising trend line drawn from the bottom of 16116
made in 2020 is placed at 58525
(figure may change daily) for the day. But it was above this line on 23.1.2025 @58464
WEAKNESS: -
1. Volatility and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which
is not a good sign for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it
down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. It still
has lower top & bottom on the line chart.
3. It is
into deep correction mode as it is below all its correction threshold points of
60036.21---60030.33------60015.42-----59663.39----59347.89-----58971.61-----58814.71
(figure
may change), sustained close below this range can drag it down further.
4. It is
below all its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the
important average range for day is between 59507---59459--59374---59373---59274---59251(figure will change every day), sustained close below this range can drag it down further.
5. The price action was negative today.
6. It is below
its most crucial 1st make or break bottom of 58712.70, if it sustains below, it on the closing basis then it may witness an
accelerated down move.
TRADING CALL: --
1.
Long trade can be tried on decline near or within the range of
58340---58300 if it hold
this range for some time then, with a stop loss of 58200 for intraday gain else
avoid. Please note that long trade in a corrective
market could be a risky affair, but can be tried near critical support points
for intraday gains.
2. Short
trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 58750---58850 with
a stop loss of 59050 or can sell if it moves below 58200 and
maintain for some time then with a stop loss of 58450. It could be a risky trade but can be tried for
intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa. Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and
then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Email—suranank@gmail.com
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
