CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open—59851.40---High—59993.50--Low—59283.35---Close—59404.20 on 20.1.2026.
Support:58925.70/58799.90/58712.70/58688.55/59649.50/58577.50/58469.90/58050/57628.40/57594.25/57482.05/57363.70/57157.85/57049.50/56623.60/56594.25/56204.85/56098.70/55821/55695/55547.35/55475.45/55149.30/54905.60/54576.60/54467.35/54226.60/54176.45/53888.30/53561,75/53483.05/53357.70/52794.95/52782.75/52760.20/52577.50/52493.95/52354.85/51979.75/51749.45/51749.45/51693.50/51138.90/51133.20/51000.90/50947.70/50860.20/50841.90/50641.75/50438.30/50382.10/50369.40/50194.30/49974.75/49904.40/49836.10/49787.10/49688.80/49654.65/49459/49300/49162.65/49057.40/48972.55/48906.05/48839.10/48734.35/48636.45/48525.60/48292.25/48203.45/48161.75/48074.05/47898.35/47844.15/47702.90/47363.40/46983.75/46077.85/45828.80/45661.75/44633.85/44429/43600.25/43345.45/43230.95/42582.20/42105.40.
Resistance:59440.10/59478.15/59545.70/59581.85/59674.80/59806.60/60114.30/60203.75/60231/60354/60473.20/60496/60650/60702/60736/60955/60980/61041/61342/.
OVERALL, VIEW: --
It opened on a negative note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a loss of 487.15 points. It is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points are 56922.70, 55616.45,51361, 51244 & 50496), which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility and it is not a good sign for a steady market.
The technical setup has weakened a bit again but still looks o.k. for continuation of the up-move, but it is into correction mode , it still has lower top & bottom on the line chart, below all the short term moving averages on the daily chart and few below on the weekly chart, below few medium term moving average on the daily chart and almost all the important technical indicators are weak on the daily chart, therefore all together these developments are slightly concerning and can drag it down further. Therefore moving down if it manages to holds its critical & key points of 59347.89----59235.45----58971.61----58925.70---58814.71----58799.90-----58712.70----58649.50----57687---57157.85(figures may change) on the closing basis then the chances of up-move will be alive. It is already into correction mode , break & sustained close below 59235.45(PTP) may dampen the chances of a continued up-move and it may drift down further, break & sustained close below the range 58971.61----58925.70---58814.71----58799.90-----58712.70----58649.50 will trigger fresh fall and push it into deep correction mode and can drag it down further and finally break & sustained close below 57687 & 57157.85 (figure may change) may witness an accelerated fall and will threaten the long term uptrend and then correction could be more painful time-wise and price-wise both, which may please be noted.
Moving up the target or resistance points could be at 59581.85-------59663.39-----59674.80------59667----59705-----59873.94-----60015.42----60030.33------60036.21---60114.30-----60123----60203.75---60221----60231---60354—60473.20---60496---60650---60736---60955 (some figures may change) (for complete
resistance points see the table on the upside) it may correct at any of these
points and then may resume the up-move again or may halt the up-move for a
while. Please note that if it moves above the range of 59581.85-----59674.80 and sustain on the closing basis then it may raise hope for
extending the up-move, if it moves above the range of 59873.94-----60015.42----60030.33------60036.21 it will be out of corrective mode
and may resume the up-move again and if it moves above 60114.30 &
60123 and sustain on
the closing basis then it may get back into good up-momentum track again and
may retest its all-time high of 60473.20 or may go beyond it also. It is in the strong long-term uptrend.
IMPORTANT
NOTE:
- THE
IMPORTANT POINTS FOR THE YEAR--2026 ARE 59581.85---59674.80---60114.30 AND TO KEEP THE HOPE ALIVE FOR A CONTINUED UP-MOVE IT HAS TO
SUSTAIN ABOVE 59581.85---59674.80 AND TO GET
INTO STRONG UP MOMENTUM IT HAS TO MOVE ABOVE 60114.30 AND SUSTAIN ON THE
CLOSING BASIS THROUGH-OUT THE YEAR , ELSE IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS
AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT;-
POSITIVE
POINTS:-
1. Few indicators are
in buy mode such as PS & ADX so it may rally at times but that may not last.
3. it is above almost all of its medium term
moving averages on the daily, above all
on the weekly& monthly chart.
4. It is
above all its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average
is placed at 57687(figure will change daily) for the day.
NEGATIVE
POINTS:-
1. Almost all the
important indicators such as EV, MACD & VM is
in the sell mode and RSI with negative divergence, so down move may happen at
times and it may extend also.
2. It is below all its short term moving average on the daily
& below few on the weekly chart.
3. It is below few of its medium term moving average on the
daily chart.
In view of the above observation there is a mixed possibility and it can swing
both ways as of now. Furthermore please
also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in
the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore
fall also cannot be ruled out in coming weeks & months. Please keep an eye
on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further
directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -
WEEKLY CHART: - Almost all the important indicators are positive MACD, ST, PS, ADX & EV are in the buy mode, so the up-move may extend, but RSI is showing negative divergence, and VM is in the sell mode and it is in the overbought zone, therefore fall also looks quite likely in coming weeks. So it is giving mixed sign with slight tilt towards the downside as of now.
MONTHLY CHART:-Few indicators are in the buy mode such as MACD,PS & ADX but it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI and VM is in the sell mode, therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with a slight tilt towards up-side as of now.
IT IS SELL ON THE RISE
MARKET NOW;-
It is into correction mode and below certain key points, therefore now it will be sell on the rise market now till it moves above 59581.85 & 59674.80 and sustain on the closing basis. But long trade can also be tried on sharp decline and near critical support points or range, for intraday gains.
STRENGTH: -
1. It is above
its most crucial 1st & 2nd bottom of 58712.70 & 57157.85, if it sustains above, it on the closing basis
then the chances of the up-move will be alive, else it may correct sharply.
2. It is above few of its
correction threshold points of 59347.89 ----58971.61-----58814.71 (figure may change),
sustained close above these points may keep the hope alive for moving up
further.
3. It is above its major long-term rising trend line which is
placed at 58035 for
the month of January-2026, it is a good sign.
4. Its major long term rising trend line drawn from the bottom of 16116
made in 2020 is placed at 58342
(figure may change daily) for the day.
WEAKNESS: -
1. Volatility and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which
is not a good sign for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it
down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. It still
has lower top & bottom on the line chart.
3. It
slipped into correction mode as it is below few of its correction threshold
points of 60036.21---60030.33------60015.42-----59663.39 (figure
may change), sustained close below this range can drag it down further.
4. It is
below all its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the
important average range for day is between 59705---59669--59667---59664---59572---59571(figure will change every day), sustained close below this range can drag it down further.
5. The price action was negative today.
TRADING CALL: --
1.
Long trade can be tried on decline near or within the range of
59290---59251 if it hold this range for
some time then, with a stop loss of 59100
for intraday gain else avoid. Please note that long trade in a corrective market
could be a risky affair, but can be tried near critical support points for
intraday gains.
2. Short
trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 59675---59775 with
a stop loss of 59875 or can sell if it moves below 59250 and
maintain for some time then with a stop loss of 59450. It could be a risky trade but can be tried for
intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa. Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and
then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Email—suranank@gmail.com
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
