CNX-NIFTY
Open—25840.40---High—25940.60---Low---25623--Close---25683.30 on 9.1.2026
Support:25669.35/25548.70/25448.50/25318.45/24255.30/25153.65/25079.80/25008.20/24918.65/24882.30/24857.75/24854.80/24792.30/24753.15/24694.35/24587.70/24537.60/24502.15/24498.20/24494.45/24473/24462.40/24404.70/24337.50/24226.70/24198.75/24141.80/24099.70/24094.20/24073.90/23938.85/23935.75/23893.70/23873.35/23869.65/23847.45/23816.15/23807.30/23667.20/23664/23644.80/23637.65/23484.15/23537/23426.30/23391.65/23338.70/23263.15/23110.80/23049.95/23047.25/22976.85/22794.70/22786.90/22775.70/22768.40/22676.75/22625.30/22577.40/22546/22525.65/22502/22314.70/22303.80/22281/22165/22124.70/22104.85/21964.60/21875.25/21860.65/21821.05/21777.65/21710.20/21530.20/21448.65/21281.45/21137.20/21021.88/20976.80/20769.50/20291.50/20222.45/19991.85/19839/19333.60.
Resistance:25693.25/25718.20/25726.80/25740.80/25842.95/25891/25057.60/26097.85/26104.20/26129.60/26173.30/26202.60/26236.40/26246.65/26277.35/26325.80/26340/26357/26374/26404/26458/26497/26567/26594/26650/26678/26694/26717/26816/26842/26995/27001/27095/27212/27293/27375/27510/27824.
OVERALL VIEW
ON THE DAILY CHART:
--
It opened on a negative note and thereafter
had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a loss of 193.55 points. Please note that it
has been falling for the last 5 days, so it may stage a relief rally anytime soon,
but that may not last, so watch out. It is also important
to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap
points on downside are 25365.15, 24164, 22923, 22468 & 22254) also on
the downside/upside, which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time
for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure.
So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility, this is
not a good sign for a steady market.
The technical setup has terribly weakened, it
is into deep correction mode for its recent rise, below short term rising trend
line, below all the short term and few medium term moving average on the daily
chart and below few short term moving average on the weekly chart and broken
recent bottom on the line and bar chart and almost all technical indicators are
weak on the daily chart and most importantly it has broken its make or break
bottom of 25693.25(key point) today, so all together these developments
are highly concerning and can drag it down further. Please note that if it
sustain below 25693.25 then the chances
of up-move will be bleak and it may drift down lower in an accelerated pace. Moving
down further it will find critical support at 25591-----25585----25530---25318.45----25234-----25134----25037---24947 (figures may change), it may bounce
back from any of these points, but break & sustained close below the range
of 25591-----25585----25530 will
threaten the long term uptrend, break & sustained close below 25318.45 may make the correction more painful time-wise
& price-wise both and finally break & sustained close below 24947will be a
potential threat for the long term uptrend and it may witness an accelerated
fall..
Moving up the key resistance points could
be at 25693.25---25718.40---25726.30---25740.80---25800.05-----25842.95---25878----25891—--25892.77---26050-----25951.82----26051.13----26062----26104.20----26124.28---26129.60----26173.30---26212.73----26223.88---26246.65----26256.33----26277.35—26325.80---26373.20---26357---26374---26404---26458---26497---26567---26594---26650---26678----26694----26717---26816 (some figures may change daily or at some point of time) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the
up-move again or may halt the up-move for a while. Please note that if it moves
above 25693.25 and sustain on the closing basis then it will give a ray of hope
that the up-move can extend, if it moves
above 25800.05 and sustain on the closing basis then it will raise hope for
extending the up-move, if it moves above 26050-----26062
and sustain on the closing basis the it may
gain some strength for the up-move, if it moves above the range of 26104.20----26113---26124.28---26129.60----26173.30
it will gain good strength and will be a positive sign for
moving up further, if it moves above the range of 26212.73----26223.88---26246.65----26256.33 and
sustain on the closing basis then it will get out of correction mode and may
resume the up-move and if it moves above 26277.35 & 26325.80 and
sustain on the closing basis then it may get back into strong up-momentum track
again, else it may drift down. It is in the strong long-term uptrend, but into
short correction mode now.
IMPORTANT
NOTE: - THE IMPORTANT POINTS FOR THE YEAR--2026
ARE 26129.60---26173.30---26325.80 AND TO KEEP THE HOPE ALIVE FOR A CONTINUED
UP-MOVE IT HAS TO SUSTAIN ABOVE 26129.60---26173.30 AND TO GET INTO STRONG UP
MOMENTUM IT HAS TO MOVE ABOVE 26325.80 AND SUSTAIN ON THE CLOSING BASIS
THROUGH-OUT THE YEAR , ELSE IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT ON THE CHART;-
POSITIVE POINTS:-
1. It is in the
neutral/oversold zone, so it may witness relief rally at times, but that may
not sustain.
2. It is above all
its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average is placed
at 25530(figure will change daily) for the day.
3. It is above few of its short term moving averages on the on
the weekly& above all on the monthly chart.
4. It is above few
of its medium-term moving averages on the daily, but above all on the weekly
& monthly chart.
NEGATIVE POINTS:-
1. All the important
indicators such as EV,MACD, PS, ST,VM & ADX are in the sell mode and RSI
with negative divergence, so down move may happen at times and may last also.
2. It is below all its
short term moving average on the daily chart and below more than half of its
average on the weekly chart.
3. It is below few of
its medium term moving average on the daily chart.
In view of the above observation there is a mixed
possibility and it can swing both ways but with a downward--bias as of now.
Furthermore please
also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in
the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore
fall also cannot be ruled out in coming weeks & months. Please keep an eye
on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further
directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART:-
WEEKLY CHART: - Few important technical indicators are positive ADX&
PS is in the buy mode, MACD,ST,EV & VM is in the sell mode and RSI is with
negative divergence and it is in the overbought zone, therefore it may witness corrective
down move at times.
MONTHLY CHART: -Few indicators are in buy mode such as ST,PS & ADX, but key
indicator such as MACD , & VM are in
the sell mode, it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI.
Therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with slight
tilt towards down-side as of now; therefore, further fall in the coming months
cannot be ruled out, so be watchful.
IT
IS SELL ON THE RISE MARKET NOW;-
It is into
deep correction mode and broken all the key points , therefore now it will be
sell on the rise market now till it moves above the range of 26050---26062 and sustain on the
closing basis. But long trade can also be tried on sharp decline and near critical support points or range
with strict stop losses, for intraday gains.
STRENGTH:-
1. It is above its major long-term
rising trend line which is placed at 25591 for the month of January-2026; it could be an important & strong support point.
2. It is above its most critical 2nd,
3rd, 4th & 5th make or break bottom of 25318.45—24587.70---24337.50 &
21743.65 sustained close above it will keep the hope alive of resuming the
up-move again.
3. It is above its major long-term
rising trend drawn from the bottom of 7511
made on 20.3.2020, which is placed
at 25585(figure will change
and inch up every day) for the day.
WEAKNESS: -.
1. Volatility and wild swing can
be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market
condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming
days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. To get back into strong up-momentum track
it has to move above 26277.35
& 26325.80 and sustain on the closing basis, else it
may drift down.
3. It is
into deep correction mode now as it is below all its threshold point of 26256.33----26223.88---26220.53----26212.73----26124.28---26051.13---25951.82----25892.77 sustained close below these
points can drag it down further.
4. The price
action was negative today.
5. It is below its short term
rising trend line which is placed at 26263 (figure will change daily) for the day, sustained close
below this line is a weak sigh and can drag it down.
6. It is below all its short-term
moving averages now on the daily chart and the important average range for day
is 26062---26050----26038--26035—26027---26016 (figure will change every day), sustained close below this range can drag
it down further.
7. It is
below its 2nd downtrend line, which is placed at 26075(figure will change daily)
for the day, it is a negative sign.
8. It has broken almost all
recent bottoms on the line & few on the bar chart.
9. It has broken its make or
break bottom support of 25693.25 today, which is a very weak sign and if it
sustains below it then it can drag it down faster.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade
can be tried only if it moves above 25693.25 and maintain for some time then with a stop loss of 25600 for a possible intraday gain, else avoid. Please note that
long trade in a corrective market could be a risky affair, but can be tried
near critical support points for intraday gains.
2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 25850---25900
with a stop loss of 25960 or can sell if it moves below 25623 and
maintain for some time with a stop loss of 25720. It
could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If
it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating
long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at
all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the
above view.
Kindly note that make your cost your
stop loss in favorable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated here are of spot
market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
Email--- suranank@gmail.com
