CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open—55797.10---High—55835.25--Low—55490.90---Close—55727.45
on 18.9.2025.
Support:55695/55547.35/55475.45/55149.30/54905.60/54576.60/54467.35/54442.30/54176.45/53888.30/53483.05/53357.70/52794.95/52782.75/52760.20/52577.50/52493.95/52354.85/51979.75/51749.45/51749.45/51693.50/51138.90/51133.20/51000.90/50947.70/50860.20/50841.90/50641.75/50438.30/50382.10/50369.40/50194.30/49974.75/49904.40/49836.10/49787.10/49688.80/49654.65/49459/49300/49162.65/49057.40/48972.55/48906.05/48839.10/48734.35/48636.45/48525.60/48292.25/48203.45/48161.75/48074.05/47898.35/47844.15/47702.90/47363.40/46983.75/46077.85/45828.80/45661.75/44633.85/44429/43600.25/43345.45/43230.95/42582.20/42105.40.
Resistance:55957.75/56098.70/56161.40/56204.85/56594.25/56623.60/57049.50/57276.55/57312.75/57363.70/57375.80/57566/57628.40/57683/57755/58000/58224/58316/58479/58950.
OVERALL, VIEW: --
It opened with an up-gap and thereafter had both side moves during the day and in the process it filled the gap of the day and finally, ended the day with a gain of 234.15 points. Please note that it has been rising for the last 12 days in a row and with each, rising day vulnerability of correction is increasing and now it has come to a point where correction looks inevitable in a day or two, so be alert and watchful. It is important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points are 54350.65,51361, 51244 & 50496) , which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility and it is not a good sign for a steady market.
The technical setup looks good for the continuation of the up-move, but it is still inti corrective mode for its earlier rise and most importantly it is still below its major long term rising trend-line which is drawn from the bottom of 16116.25 made on 24.3.2020 and placed at 55910(figure will change and inch-up every day) for the day. But the positive thing is that it is making higher top & bottom on the line & bar chart, it is above its very short term rising trend-line which was placed at 55251 (figure will change & inch up every day) for 18.9.2025 and is placed at 55449 for 19.9.2025 , so to keep up-move going on it has to stay & close above it, else it may witness moderate to sharp fall, it is above its most critical range of 55298.70---54643---54521.48---54467.35---54312.12 (some figures may change daily), and if it sustain above these points on the closing basis then the up-move is surely likely to extend, but sustained close below 55449 may derail the on-going up-move for a while, break & sustained close below 55298.70will push it into short corrective mode for its very recent rise, break & sustained close below the range of 54643----54521.48 will pose a threat to long term uptrend and will dim the chances of extending the up move, break & sustained close below 54467.35 may trigger fresh fall and will also dampen the chances of a continued up-move in the year—2025, break & sustained close below 54312.12 can drag it down further to 53483 levels but on the way it will find support at 54174.06---53658.15---53655.65---53606.45(some figure may change) for the month of September-2025 and if it holds this range or points then the chances of resuming the up-move will be alive. Please note that break & sustained close below this range may trigger fresh fall.
Moving down further its next critical & strong support point will be at 53483.05 and if it does not hold this point on the closing basis then it may witness an accelerated fall and then the final support range could be 53133---52831 (range will change daily), but break & sustained close below this range will trigger fresh fall and long term uptrend would also be in potential danger and then it may head for sharp fall may be with-in-between short relief rallies.
Moving up the broad resistance points could be at 55910---56038.48---56068---56098.70-----56650.10-----56816-----56908.08----57043.33---57049.50----57213-----57376----57566---57629(some figures may change)(for complete resistance points see
the table on the upside) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move
again. Please note that if it moves above 55910 then it will get good strength to move-up
further, if it moves above the range of 56038.48---56098.70 and sustain then it will get good foothold and raise
good hope for extending the up-move, if it moves above 56650.10 and sustain then it will get out of
deep corrective mode for its recent rise and if it moves above 56816
and sustain on the closing basis then it may get back into strong
up- momentum track and may retest its all-time high of 57628.40
or may go beyond it also. It is
already into deep correction mode for its earlier gains, but long term uptrend
is intact.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS
AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT;-
POSITIVE
POINTS:-
1. All
the important indicator are positive and EV, MACD, PS, ADX, VM & ST is in
the buy mode, RSI is with positive divergence, so up-move can extend.
2.
Volatility method has triggered fresh buy signal on 1.9.2025, so be watchful.
3. It is
above all short term moving averages on the daily, weekly & monthly chart.
4. It is
above all its long terms moving averages and the top average it at 54643(figure
will change every day) for the day.
5. It is
in the oversold zone on the weekly chart, so it may have relief rally at times.
6. It is
above almost all medium term moving averages on the daily, weekly & monthly
chart.
NEGATIVE
POINTS:-
1. It is in
the overbought zone in few indicators on the daily chart, so it may correct at
times.
2. On the
weekly chart important indicators such as MACD, EV, PS, VM are in the sell mode
and RSI is showing negative divergence, so it may correct sharply in the coming
week.
In view of the above there is a possibility that the up-move can
extend with-in-between corrective move till it holds its important & key
points or range of 55298.70---54643---54467.35
on the closing basis as mentioned above. But please note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative
divergence and in the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a
concern, therefore further fall cannot be ruled out in coming days. Please keep
an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price action for
further directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -
WEEKLY CHART: - All the important indicators are negative MACD, EV, PS & VM are in the sell mode and RSI is showing negative divergence, therefore further fall looks quite likely in coming weeks .But the only silver lining is that it is in the oversold zone, so it may have short up-moves at times.
MONTHLY CHART:-Few indicators are in the buy mode such as MACD, PS & ADX, but it is in the overbought zone and with huge negative divergence in RSI. Therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with tilt towards down-side as of now.
IT IS BUY ON DECLINE
MARKET NOW;-
It is still into deep correction mode for its earlier & recent rise
but it moved above its recent key point of 55298.70---54643---54521.48---54467.35 (figure may change) ,
therefore as long as it holds these point on the closing basis it will be buy
on decline market. But short trade can also be tried on
the reasonable or sharp rise near critical resistance points or range with
strict stop losses, for intraday
corrective gains.
STRENGTH: -
1. It is above
its most crucial 1st & 2nd bottom of 55149.30 &53483.05, if it
sustains above it on the closing basis then the chances of the up-move will be alive.
2. It is
above its 2nd major long term rising trend line which is placed at 50939 for the month of September-2025, it
is a very strong support point.
3. It is
making higher top & bottom on the line chart.
4. It is
above its short pullback threshold point of 54174.06(figure may change), sustained close above it may keep the hope alive for
further up-move.
5. It is
above its recent pullback threshold point of 54521.48(figure
may change), if it sustain above it then up-move can extend.
6. The price action was positive today.
7 It is
above its most critical point of 54467.35, please note that it is essential to stay
above this point to keep the up-momentum going in the year-2025, else it
may drift down.
8. It is
above all of its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the
important average range for day is between 55047---54967--54881---54778---54668---54578(figure will change every day), sustained close above this range can help it to move-up further.
9. It is above its recent
correction threshold point of 55298.70 (figure may change).
Break & close below
this point will push it into short correction mode for its very recent rise.
WEAKNESS: -
1. Volatility
and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign
for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically
in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. It is into short, medium & deep correction mode for its recent rise as it is below its threshold point and also below its medium & deep correction threshold points 57189.04---57043.33---56908.08-----56650.10 & 55861 (figure may change), sustained close below these points can drag it down much lower.
3. It is
below its major first major long term rising trend line which is placed at 55800 for the month of September-2025,
it is a very weak sign.
4. It is
below its major first major long term rising trend line which is placed at 55910 for the day, it is a very weak sign.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade can be tried on decline
near or within the range of 55555---55450
if it hold this range for some time then,
with a stop loss of 55350 for a
possible intraday gain, else avoid. Please note that long trade in a
corrective market could be a risky affair, but can be tried near critical
support points for intraday gains.
2. Short
trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 55990—56100 with
a stop loss of 56250 or can sell if it moves below 55430 and
maintain for some time then with a stop loss of 55630. It could be a risky trade but can be tried for
intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and
then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Email—suranank@gmail.com
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
