CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open—55147.75---High—55306--Low—55048.50---Close—55139.30 on 25.8.2025.
Support:54905.60/54576.60/54467.35/54442.30/54176.45/53888.30/53483.05/53357.70/52794.95/52782.75/52760.20/52577.50/52493.95/52354.85/51979.75/51749.45/51749.45/51693.50/51138.90/51133.20/51000.90/50947.70/50860.20/50841.90/50641.75/50438.30/50382.10/50369.40/50194.30/49974.75/49904.40/49836.10/49787.10/49688.80/49654.65/49459/49300/49162.65/49057.40/48972.55/48906.05/48839.10/48734.35/48636.45/48525.60/48292.25/48203.45/48161.75/48074.05/47898.35/47844.15/47702.90/47363.40/46983.75/46077.85/45828.80/45661.75/44633.85/44429/43600.25/43345.45/43230.95/42582.20/42105.40.
Resistance:55149.30/55475.45/55547.35/55695/55957.75/56098.70/56161.40/56204.85/56594.25/56623.60/57049.50/57276.55/57312.75/57363.70/57375.80/57566/57628.40/57683/57755/58000/58224/58316/58479/58950.
OVERALL, VIEW: --
It opened on a flat note and
thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day flat with
a loss of 10.10 points. It is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap
points are 54054.80, 51361, 51244 & 50496) , which is still a huge
concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it
will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is
often exhibiting volatility, and it is not a good sign for a steady market.
The technical setup is very weak, it is into short, medium and deep correction
mode for its recent rise and into medium & deep correction mode for its
earlier rise also, it is below all its
short term moving average on the daily & almost below all on the weekly chart, also below most
of the medium term moving averages on the daily chart, it is making lower top
& bottom again on the line chart, furthermore
it is below its key point of 55547.35 and most importantly it is below its
major long term rising trend-line which is drawn from the bottom of 16116.25
made on 24.3.2020 and is placed at 55477(this figure will change & inch up
every day) for the day, which is a terribly weak indication, and if it does not
bounce back above the trend-line and key point of 55547.35 and sustain in the next 2-3 trading session,
then further fall looks inevitable in the coming days. Moving down its critical support points are at
55043---55025---54905, which could
be a good bounce back range, but break & sustained close below this range
may witness an accelerated fall.
Moving down further its next critical
support points or range will be at 54467.35----54408---54312.12(some
figures may change daily), which
is yet again an important bounce back points or range and if it holds this range then the chances
of resuming the up move will still be faintly alive. But break & sustained
close below 54467.35 will dampen the
chances of up-move in the year 2025 and it
may head down with an accelerated pace, if it moves below 54408 and sustain on the closing basis then the long term uptrend
will be threatened and it may slide down further and finally if it moves below 54312.12 and sustain on the closing
basis then it may find its next strong support at 53483.05 and please note that break & sustained close below it
may witness an accelerated fall.
Moving up the broad resistance points could be at 55186.44---55285.91---55547.35---55548.18---55629.14----55897.15-----55961.95------56038.48---56098.70-------56650.10-----56908.08----57043.33---57049.50----57084----57189.04---57213-----57376----57566---57629(some figures may change)(for complete resistance points see
the table on the upside) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move
again or may pause the rally for a while. Please note that if it remains below 55186.44
on the closing basis then it is likely to come down to 54576
level or below, if it moves above moves above the range of 55285.91---55547.35---55548.18
then it may raise hope for extending the up move, if it moves above moves above the range of 55897.15-----55961.95 and sustain then the up-move is most likely to
extend further , if it moves above the range of 56038.48---56098.70 and sustain then it will get good foothold and raise
good hope for extending the up-move, if it moves above 56650.10 and sustain then it will get out of
deep corrective mode for its recent rise, if it moves above the range of 56908.08----57043.33---57049.50----57084 and
sustain on the closing basis then it may
get back into strong up- momentum track
and may retest its all-time high of 57628.40 or may go beyond it also. It is still in a long term uptrend,
but into deep correction mode for its recent rise.
IMPORTANT NOTE: - THE KEY POINTS FOR THE MONTH
OF AUGUST-2025 ARE 55547.35---55897.15 & 55961.95 IT HAS TO MOVE & REMAIN ABOVE THESE POINTS FOR AN
UP-MOVE TO CONTINUE, ELSE IT WILL DRIFT DOWN.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS
PLACEMENT ON THE DAILY CHART;-
POSITIVE
POINTS:-
1. It is
still above its long term moving average and the top average is placed at 54408(figure
will change every day).
2. Few
important indicators are positive now, MACD, EV, PS is in the buy mode and RSI
has given a positive divergence and it is in the oversold zone, so it may keep
the hope alive for an –up-move.
3.
Volatility method showing a buy signal.
NEGATIVE
POINTS:-
1. below all
short terms moving average on the daily & below almost all on the weekly
chart.
2. below almost
all medium terms moving average on the daily chart.
3. ST &
ADX are in the sell mode, so it may correct at times.
In view of the above there is a possibility that the down move can
extend with-in-between relief rally till it moves above the important & key
points on the closing basis as mentioned above. Furthermore please note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps,
negative divergence and in the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is
still a concern, therefore further fall cannot be ruled out in coming days.
Please keep an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price
action for further directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -
WEEKLY CHART: - Almost all the indicators are negative MACD, EV, PS
& ST are in the sell mode and RSI is showing negative divergence, therefore
further fall looks quite likely in coming weeks .But the only silver lining is
that it is in the oversold zone , so it
may have short up-moves at times.
MONTHLY CHART:-Few indicators are in buy mode such as MACD, ST, PS
& ADX, but it is in the overbought zone and with huge negative divergence
in RSI. Therefore, all
together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with tilt towards
down-side as of now.
IT IS SELL ON THE RISE MARKET
NOW;-
It is into deep correction mode for its earlier & recent rise and
below its recent key points, therefore it is a sell on the rise market now till
it closes above 55550
&55477(this figure will change daily) and sustain. But long
trade can also be tried on reasonable or sharp decline near critical support
points or range with strict stop losses,
for intraday gains.
STRENGTH: -
1. It is above
its most crucial bottom of 55149.30 & 53483.05, if it
sustains above it on the closing basis then the chances of the up-move will be alive.
2 It is way above
its most critical point of 54467.35, please note that it is essential to stay
above this point to keep the up-momentum going in the year-2025, else it
may drift down.
3. It is
above its major long term rising trend line which is placed at 54812 & 50370 for the month of August-2025,
these are the very strong support point.
WEAKNESS: -
1. Volatility
and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign
for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically
in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. It is into
short, medium & deep correction mode for its recent rise as it is below its
threshold point and also below its medium & deep correction threshold
points 57189.04---57043.33---56908.08-----56650.10--- 55629.14 & 55285.91 (figure may
change), sustained close below these points can drag it down much lower.
3. It is below its
correction threshold point of 55861(figure
may change) for its very recent rise.
4. It is below
all its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the important
average range for day is between 55663---55569--55465---55464---55456---55443(figure will change every day), sustained close below this range may drag it down further.
5. It has
made lower top & bottom on the line & bar chart again.
6. It is
below its recent pullback threshold point of 55549(figure
may change), if it sustain below it chances of up move will be slim.
7. The price action was negative today.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade can be tried on decline
near 55103 if it holds this point
for some time, with a stop loss of 55000
or can buy on sharp decline near 54905 with a stop loss 54800 for a possible intraday gain, else avoid. Please
note that long trade in a corrective market could be a risky affair, but can be
tried near critical support points for intraday gains.
2. Short
trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 55350—55400 with
a stop loss of 55500 or can sell if it moves below 55100 and
maintain for some time then with a stop loss of 55310. It could be a risky trade but can be tried for
intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and
then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Email—suranank@gmail.com
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
