CNX-NIFTY
Open—25064.15—High—25084.85---Low---24859.15---Close---25870.10 on 22.8.2025
Support:24857.75/24854.80/24792.30/24753.15/24733.40/24694.35/24598.60/24589.15/24537.60/24502.1524498.20/24494.45/24473/24462.40/24354.55/24226.70/24198.75/24141.80/24099.70/24094.20/24073.90/23938.85/23935.75/23893.70/23873.35/23869.65/23847.45/23816.15/23807.30/23667.20/23664/23644.80/23637.65/23484.15/23537/23426.30/23391.65/23338.70/23263.15/23110.80/23049.95/23047.25/22976.85/22794.70/22786.90/22775.70/22768.40/22676.75/22625.30/22577.40/22546/22525.65/22502/22314.70/22303.80/22281/22165/22124.70/22104.85/21964.60/21875.25/21860.65/21821.05/21777.65/21710.20/21530.20/21448.65/21281.45/21137.20/21021.88/20976.80/20769.50/20291.50/20222.45/19991.85/19839/19333.60.
Resistance:24882.30/24892.60/24918.65/25001.95/25079.20/25116.25/25136.20/25222.40/25234.05/25246.25/24255.30/25285.55/25333.65/25371/25517.05/25548.70/25551.35/25669.35/25871.35/26277.35/26328/26995/27095/27212/27293/27381.
OVERALL VIEW
ON THE DAILY CHART:
--
It opened on a negative note and thereafter
had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a loss of 213.65 points.. The gap it
created on 18.8.2025 is still there and if it makes an effort to fill
the gap in the next 1 trading sessions, which is technically possible
then it could come down to 24673, but if it fails to fill the gap in the
stipulated time then chances of filling the gap will recede for the time being,
but please note that it will fill the gap one day for sure. It is also important to mention here that it that
it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points on downside are
24164, 22923, 22468 & 22254 on the upside 25019--25340.45) also on the
downside/upside, which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for
filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure.
So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility, this is
not a good sign for a steady market.
As expected after 6 days of straight
rise it corrected today ,it is already into short & medium term correction
mode for its recent rise, and slipped into further correction for its very
recent rise today , it is below few of its medium term moving average on the
daily chart, but still the technical setup looks good for the continuation of
the up-move, because the positive thing is that it is still above its short
term moving averages on the daily & weekly chart, also above its pullback
threshold point, still making higher top & bottom on the line chart,
furthermore few important technical indicators are still positive now and most
importantly it is still decisively above its key points or range of 24768.35----24753.15----24742.88
and as long as it holds this range on the closing
basis chances of up-move will be alive and it may retest its recent top of 25153.65
or may go beyond it also. But break & sustained close below the range of 24768.35----24753.15---- 24742.88
may trigger fresh fall and then it’s important
support points or range could be at 24598.60---24494----24462----24449(this
figure will change daily), break & sustained close below 24598.60 may
trigger fresh fall and break & sustained close below the range of
24494----24462----24449 will further
weaken it and drag it down and will also threaten the long term uptrend and
then it will get its most important support at its long term major rising
trend-line which is drawn from the bottom of 7511.10 made on
24.3.2020 and is placed at 24385(this figure will change &
inch up every day) for the day, break & sustained close below it may
witness an accelerated down-move.
Moving down further it will find its most
important & critical support in the range of 23940----23893.70----23869.65—23807.30(some
figure may change) , it is a very strong bounce back support range and if
it holds this range then the chances of resuming the up-move will still be faintly
alive, but break & sustained close below this range may trigger
fresh fall and the long term uptrend will be in potential danger and may also
end the hope of a continued up-move and then comes its most critical support point of 23644.80 & 23637.65, please
note that to keep the hope alive for a good up-move in the year 2025 it has to stay
above these points on the closing basis, else
fall may continue. The long term uptrend is still intact but it is
already into short, medium & deep correction mode now for its recent rise.
Moving up the key resistance points could
be at 24961.04---25153.65---25239.36—25260.22----25371----25387.01----25405----25448.47---25496.48—25517---25552----25670----25761----25778---25863---25996----26277.35(some figures may change daily) It can
correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move again or rally
may fizzle out for a while also. Please note that if it moves above 24961.04 and sustain
on the closing basis then it may resume the up-move again, if it moves above 25153.65 and sustain
on the closing basis then it will help it to extend the up-move further, if it
moves above the range of 25239.36—25260.22----25371----25405----25496.48 and sustain on the closing basis then it will get out of all
corrective mode and may resume the up-move again, here please note that
sustained close above 25371 will raise good hope for extending the up-move further for sure and
there would be a distinct possibility that it could retest its all-time high of
26277.35 or may go beyond it also. It is in the long term uptrend as of now.
IMPORTANT NOTE: - THE
KEY POINTS FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST-2025 ARE 24598.60---24753.15 &24768.35 AND IT IS ABOVE ALL OF IT NOW , THEREFORE AS LONG
AS IT HOLDS THESE POINTS ON THE CLOSING BASIS THE UP-MOVE IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE
WITH IN BETWEEN SHORT DOWN MOVE. IT MAY SIGNIFICANTLY MOVE-UP ONLY ONCE IT
MOVES ABOVE 25371 AND SUSTAIN ON THE CLOSING BASIS.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE
DAILY CHART;-
POSITIVE POINTS:-
1. All the
important technical indicators are positive now and MACD, PS, EV, ADX & ST
is in buy mode and RSI is showing positive divergence, so the on-going up-move
may extend.
2. Volatility
method showing a buy signal.
3. above all its
long term moving averages and first average is placed at 24449(figure will change
daily)
4. It is above all
its short term moving averages on the daily & weekly chart.
NEGATIVE POINTS:-
1. It is in the overbought
zone, so it may correct.
2. It is below few
medium term moving averages on the daily chart.
In view of the
above there
is still a possibility that it can extend the up-move may be with-in- between corrections
till it holds the important key points or range as mentioned above. But please note that earlier
vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in the overbought zone on
weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore fall cannot be ruled
out in the coming days. Please keep an eye on the critical resistance &
support points and price action for further directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART:-
WEEKLY CHART: - Few indicators are
negative MACD,EV&PS & ADX are
in the sell mode and RSI is with huge negative divergence, therefore further
fall looks inevitable in coming weeks .But the silver lining is that it is in the oversold zone and ADX is
in the buy mode, so it may have short up-moves at times also.
MONTHLY CHART:-Few indicators are in buy mode such as ST, PS & ADX, but key
indicator such as MACD is in the sell mode, it is in the overbought zone and
with huge negative divergence in RSI. Therefore, all together indicators are
painting a mixed picture now with strong tilt towards down-side as of now;
therefore further fall in the coming months cannot be ruled out.
IT
IS BUY ON DECLINE MARKET NOW;-
It is still
into correction mode but above its key support range of 24768.35----24753.15---- 24742.88 therefore as long as it holds this range on the closing basis it is buy on decline market now. But short trade can also be tried after reasonable rise and near critical resistance
points or range with strict stop losses, for intraday corrective gains.
STRENGTH:-
1. It is above its major long
term rising trend line which is placed at 24309
& 22712 for the month of August-2025,
these are the very strong support point.
2. It is above its most critical
points of 23637.65 &
23644.80, please note that it must stay above these points to keep up the up
momentum going in the year 2025, else
it will start to drift down.
3. It is above its most critical first
& second make or break bottom of 24753.15 & 23893.70 sustained close above it will keep the
hope alive of resuming the up-move again.
5. It is making higher top &
bottom on the line & bar chart.
6. It is above its deep
correction threshold points of 24742.88 & 24911.42 (figure
may change), if it sustains above these points up-move can extend.
7. It is above all of its short-term
moving averages now on the daily chart and the important average range for day
is between 24865----24844----24832----24760---24754--24730(figure will change every day), sustained close above this range may help
it to extend the up-move.
WEAKNESS: -.
1. Volatility and wild swing can
be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market
condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming
days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. It is into short & medium
term correction mode for its recent rise as it closed below its threshold point
of 25496.48---25448.47---25387.01---25260.22----25239.36 (figure may change), sustained close below these points may
drag it down further.
3. It is way below its most critical point
of 25371 and if it sustains below it on the closing
basis then it will dampen the chances of retesting its all-time high of 26277.35.
4. It is below its correction
threshold points of 24961.04 (figure may change) for its very
recent rise, if it sustains below it
then down move can extend further.
5. The price action was negative today.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade
can be tried on decline near 24853 if it holds this point for some time,
with a stop loss of 24800 or can buy on sharp decline near or within the
range of 24753---24710 with a stop loss 24650 for a possible intraday gain, else avoid. Please note that long trade in a corrective
market could be a risky affair, but can be tried near critical support points
for intraday gains.
2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 25060---25090
with a stop loss of 25175. It could be a risky trade but can be
tried for intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If
it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating
long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near
the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type
of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable
profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested
in any case.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at
all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the
above view.
Kindly note that make your cost your
stop loss in favorable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated here are of spot
market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
Email--- suranank@gmail.com
