CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open—55784.85---High—55942.45--Low—55475.45---Close—55577.45 on 19.6.2025.
Support:55499.65/55209/55097/54924/54815/54772/54604/54593/54467.35/54176.45/53888.30/53792.85/53531.30/53357.70/52794.95/52782.75/52760.20/52577.50/52493.95/52354.85/51979.75/51749.45/51749.45/51693.50/51138.90/51133.20/51000.90/50947.70/50860.20/50841.90/50641.75/50438.30/50382.10/50369.40/50194.30/49974.75/49904.40/49836.10/49787.10/49688.80/49654.65/49459/49300/49162.65/49057.40/48972.55/48906.05/48839.10/48734.35/48636.45/48525.60/48292.25/48203.45/48161.75/48074.05/47898.35/47844.15/47702.90/47363.40/46983.75/46077.85/45828.80/45661.75/44633.85/44429/43600.25/43345.45/43230.95/42582.20/42105.40.
Resistance:55646/55691.95/55740/55827/55875.75/55957.75/56098.70/56161.30/56307/56696/56752/56810/57098/57406/57715/57850/58060/58648/58714/58976/59541.
OVERALL,
VIEW: --
It opened on a negative note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a loss of 251.30 points. It is important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points are 54054.80, 51361, 51244 & 50496) also on the downside, which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility, which is not a good sign for a steady market.
The overall technical setup is weak now, its see-saw movement every other day is a matter of deep concern and possibly can drag it down sharply in coming times and the process is on. It is below its few strong support points, furthermore it is below all its key lines such as rising upper channel, rising trend line, down trend line, below all short term moving averages and into deep correction mode for its recent rise, so, all together it is giving weak indication, therefore further fall looks inevitable in coming times, provided it does not make sharp recovery in a shortest possible time and moves above the critical points and sustain. However please note that moving down if it manages to hold its most critical points or range of, 55186.86----55129---55001---54843.63-----54467.35( some figures may change), which is a very strong and important bounce back points & range and if it holds this range then the chances of up move will be alive. But break & sustained close below the range of 55186.86----55001---54843.63 will push it into medium and deep correction mode for its earlier rise and break & sustained close below 54467.35 will dampen the chances of up-move in the year 2025 and will trigger fresh fall again and it may derail the up-move for good or halt it for a while and then moving down next support points could be at 53959.60---53887.09----53483.05, it may bounce back from these points, but break & sustained close below 53483.05 may witness an accelerated fall and it will get into deep correction mode. It is in the long term uptrend, but in a short term correction mode as of now.
Moving up the broad resistance points could be at 55597.75----55732----55858---55945---56098.70---56207.82---56465.90----56601.05---56670---56762----56841,(some figures may change) (for in
between resistance point see the resistance table on the upside) it may correct at any of these
points and then may resume the up-move again or may pause the rally for a while.
But if moves above 55597.75 and
sustain on the closing basis then it will raise hope of moving up further, if
it moves above the range of 55732---56098.70
and sustain on the closing basis then it will gain strength and extend the
up-move, if moves above the range of 56207.82---56465.90
and sustain on the closing basis then it will get out of corrective mode and
may make an effort to resume the bigger up-move again and if it moves above 56670 and sustain on the closing basis
then it may retest its all-time high of 57049.50
or may go beyond it also, else it may drift down again. It is in a strong long
term uptrend as of now, but into correction mode for recent rise now.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS
PLACEMENT ON THE DAILY CHART;-
It has again made lower top & bottom today on the line chart,, it is below all its short term moving average on the daily chart, but above all on the weekly & monthly chart, it is above all its medium & long term moving averages on the daily, weekly & monthly chart which is a positive sign for moving up further. But almost all the important technical indicators are negative now on the daily chart and majorly in the sell mode such as MACD, EV,PS, VM and RSI is with huge negative divergence. The silver lining is that it is in neutral/oversold zone and ADX & ST is in the buy mode, so it may have a short relief rally. Therefore please note that in totality it is giving mixed signal and likely to swing either way with a slight downward bias as of now. Furthermore earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and overbought zone is still a concern, so it may correct at times and it is into correction mode now, therefore further fall cannot be ruled out in coming days, so it is suggested to be extremely alert and cautious in your long trade commitments because it is sell on the rise market now. Please keep an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -
On the weekly chart major important indicators are positive such as MACD, PS, ADX & EV are in the buy mode, RSI in tandem now but earlier negative divergence still exist and it is in the overbought zone & ST is also in the sell mode, which is a concern, so it can correct at times. On the monthly chart few indicators are in buy mode such as MACD,ST,PS & ADX, but it is in the overbought zone and with huge negative divergence in RSI. Therefore, all together indicators on the weekly & monthly chart more or less seems positive for the up-move , but on the monthly chart huge negative divergence is a deep concern, therefore chances are that it can sharply drag it down in coming months.
IT IS SELL ON THE RISE MARKET
NOW;-
It has gotten into correction mode therefore it is sell on the rise market now till it moves above 56098.70 and sustain on the closing basis. But long trade can also be tried on decline near the critical support points or range with strict stop loss, for intraday gains.
STRENGTH: -
1. It is way
above its most crucial bottoms of 50369.40 & 49654.65, if it sustains above it on the closing basis then
the chances of the up-move will be very good.
2. It is above
its most critical points of 50860.20 & 50841.90; please note that it
must stay above these points to keep up the up momentum going in the year 2025,
else it will drift down.
3. It is above
all its long-term moving averages and the top average is placed at 52638(figure
will change every day). Close below this point will be a warning signal.
4 It is
above its few correction threshold point of 55186.86
& 54843.63 (figure may change) sustained close above these points could be a
strong hope for moving up further.
5 It is way above
its most critical point of 54467.35, please note that it is essential to stay
above this point to keep the up-momentum going in the year-2025, else it
may drift down.
6. It is above its long term rising trend-line
which is placed at 53824 &49332 for the month of June—2025.
7. It has
made short higher bottom on the line chart, but yet to make higher top, so
watch out.
WEAKNESS: -
1. Volatility
and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign
for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically
in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. Al
important technical indicators are weak on the daily chart, so, it can correct
at times and it already in the corrective mode now.
3 It slipped
into deep correction mode for its recent rise as it is below its threshold
points of 56465.90---56207.82 (figure may change) sustained close below these points may witness an
accelerated fall.
4. It is
below all its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the
important average range for day is between 56119--55945--55912---55868---55858---55732(figure will change every day), sustained close below this range can drag it down further.
5. The price action was mixed today.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade can be tried on decline near or within the range of 55186---- 55000 but not below it with a stop loss of 54800, for a possible intraday gain, else avoid. Please note that long trade in
a corrective mode could be a risky affair.
2. Short
trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 55930—56000 with
a stop loss of 56160 or can sell if it moves below 55500 and
maintain for some time with a stop loss of 55760. It could be a
risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed
here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for
the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and
then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Email—suranank@gmail.com
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
