2 2 2
CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open—50667.05--High—50667.05--Low—46077.85---Close—46928.60
on 4.6.2024.
Support: 46579.05/45828.80/45661.75/44633.55/44429.
Resistance:46983.25/47340.35/47435.25/48203.45/48292.25/48313.60/48381.95/48636.45/49057.40/49688.85/49974.75/50153.81/50467.77/50889.65/51133.20/51470/51823/51969/52218/52966.
It opened with a down gap and the open was the high
also for the day and thereafter it plunged down sharply and in the process it
filled the yesterdays gap (gap point was
49122) also and finally ended the day with a colossal loss of 4051.35
points. As expected it could not hold on to its yesterdays gain and erased it completely
in fact registered fresh losses and had a wild swing during the day, which is a
negative indication. It slipped into deep correction mode for its recent rise and
for its earlier rise also. Furthermore it slipped below its most critical
points of 48636.45---48292.25
&48203.45, please
note that to keep the up momentum going in the year 2024 it has to stay
above these points, else it could keep the down move on and most importantly it
slipped below its last key point of 46983.25 and if it sustains below it on the
closing basis then it could head to much lower levels and then the correction
could be more painful price-wise and time-wise both which may please be noted.
So to give a foothold it has to move above 46983.25 and sustain.
STRENGTH:-
1. It is still
in the long term uptrend, but today it has
threatened it as it closed below its threshold point of 47302 and sustained break below 45896 may jeopardize the long term
uptrend.
2. Moving
down from here the possible good bounce back point could be at 46579.05----45896----45828.80-----45661.75----44633.85-----44429
(figure may change) break below each point could weaken it further.
WEAKNESS:-
1. It slipped
into deep correction mode for its earlier and its recent rise and it will
get out of all corrective mode once it moves above 48178.61---49002.64----49551---50153.81
&50467.77 and sustain on the closing
basis.
2. It is way below
its most critical points of 48203.45---48292.25 & 48636.45, please note that it must stay above all these
points to keep up the strong up momentum going in the year 2024.
3. It closed
below its last critical support point of 46983.25 and if it sustains
below it then it could witness drastic fall in coming days.
4. It is way
below its all short term moving averages on the daily and weekly chart and few
below monthly chart also.
5. It is below
all its medium term moving averages and below one long term average also which
is placed at 47302(figure will change every day) for the day.
6. It is
below its pullback threshold point of 47271(figure may change),if it
moves above it and sustain on the closing basis then there will be a ray of
hope that the up move can extend.
7. It has
broken all tops & bottoms on the line chart and bar chart at one go today.
8. Some
important technical indicators are weak on the daily/weekly and monthly charts
and pointing that it could head down to lower levels in coming days/weeks and
months.
9. Volatility
can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady
market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming
days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
10. The price
action has been mixed for the last few days and today it was terribly weak.
OVERALL VIEW: -- It had a
nerve wrecking fall today which has devastatingly jolted the technical chart
setup and slipped into deep correction mode for its earlier and recent rise and
indicates further fall may be ahead, however if it moves above 46983.75---47271
& 47302(figure may change) and sustain on the closing basis then the
fall may be arrested and it may gain some strength for the up move., else it
may continue to move down. Since it is in deep corrective mode therefore it is
sell on the rise market now in general ,but long trade can also be attempted at
crucial and critical support point with strict stop loss for pullback gains.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade can be tried if it moves
above 46983.75 with a stop loss of 46800 for pullback gains, else
avoid.
2. Short
trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 47950---48100 with
a stop loss of 48300 or can sell if it remains below 46983.75 with
a stop loss of 47350. It could
be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and
then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Email—suranank@gmail.com
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.