CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open---44027.55---High—44487.25---Low---44004.55---Close—44360.15
on 10.10.2023.
Support:44279.40/44254/44207.25/44182.50/44151.80/43950/ 43862/43830.75/43706.15/43600.35/43519.55/43446/43345.95/43078.90/43038.25/42986.45/42582.20/41962
Resistance: 44459.25/44498.60/44539/44547.80/44566.30/44795/44949.60/45118.05/45238.80/45655.50
45782.75/45816/45893.80/46310.40/46369.50/46761/47063/47123/47284/47427/47755/48081/48198/48446/49139.
(Bold and underlined figures are most important)
It opened on a positive note and steadily moved up and finally ended the
day with a good gain of 473.65 points. It is still into deep short & medium term
correction mode now for recent and earlier rise. It is still below some of its
short & medium term moving averages on the daily and weekly chart despite
big up move today, which is concerning, it is still making lower top and bottom
on the line and bar chart, therefore all together it is still a weak technical setup
and indicates that further fall may be ahead with short relief rallies. Please
note that to get into meaningful pullback mode it has to close above 44390(figure
may change) and sustain on the closing basis then there is a hope that the
up move may extend but if it manages to hold 44254 &44151.80 on the
closing basis chances of up move will still be alive, else it may resume down
move again. But to get into strong up momentum track it has to close above 44584---44950---45816
& 45820(figures may change) and sustain on the closing basis. The
short term technical setup is still weak, but on the daily chart one out of
five important indicators is positive now therefore giving some ray of hope
that up move may extend further, but few indicators on the weekly and monthly
chart are also showing weakness as of now. Please note that weak indicators with
weak price action are a deadly combination and it can pull it down and the price action has been weak since
18.9.2023, but today’s price action was very strong, which is a positive sign. It
is therefore suggested to keep an eye on the price action and if the positive
price action continues for the next 2-3 days in a row then the trend may
reverse, else it may resume the down move again, so watch out price action. It is into deep short and medium term correction now but the long term
trend is still up.
Moving up
from here it may face resistance at 44390---44565---44658---44757---44985---45054---45118---45311---45350---45671---45725---45782.75---45816---45885---46310.40---46369.50(some
figure may change). Please note that it may correct at any of these points
and then may resume the up move again or rally may exhaust also.
Kindly note
that moving down from here the key support points could be 44254---44151.80---44120---43600.35---43446---43345.90---43038.25---42986.45---42881(figure
may change) sustained break below 44254 & 44151.80 may dampen
the possibility of an up move, break below 44120 may threaten the long term up
trend, break 43600.35 will be an
alert point for further fall, sustained break below 43345.90 on the
closing basis will trigger fresh fall
and it could be trend threatening also and finally sustained break below 43038.25---42986.45
& 42881 may end the possibility of a steady up move for a while, which
please note.
IMPORTANT NOTE:
-- It is into short & medium term correction mode
now, therefore it is sell on the rise market now till it closes above 45000 and
sustain, therefore long trade could be risky thing till correction is on, but
long trade can be tried intraday at critical support points for pullback gains
only.
TRADING TIPS:--
1. Safe traders should avoid long trade till correction completion sign
emerges or it closes above 44390 at least. But aggressive traders
can try long trade if it moves above 44501 and maintain for some time
with a stop loss of 44340.
2. It is
into the long term uptrend therefore short trade in general could be a risky
affair, but it is into deep short and medium correction mode now, therefore
short trade can be attempted but with extreme caution and care on the
reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. Short
trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 44800---44850
with a stop loss of 44950 or sell if it moves below 44100with a
stop loss of 44280.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down
before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap
up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing
volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you
don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off
is strongly suggested in any case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
m for
strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Email—suranank@gmail.com
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.