CNX-NIFTY
Open-19463.75--High—19537.65-Low-19296.45--Close-19381.65on
3.8.2023.
Support: 19303.60/ 19300/19275/19246.50/19234.40/19201.70/19189/19138/
19104/19035/18991/18887.60/18886.60/18881.45/18794.10/18864.70/18778/18696.10/18660.65/18604.45/ 18555.40/18531.60/18464.55/18458.90/18350.95/18265.25/18210.25/18202.40/18201.25/18134.75/18131.70/18114.65/18105.30/18060.40/18042.40/17959.20
Resistance: 19450/19498/19523.60/ 19535/ 19584/ 19608/19639/19674/19748/19830/19925/19970.50/19991.85/20160//20236/20278/20390/20719/20944.
(Bold and
underlined figures are most important)
It continued with the sharp down move for the 2nd day
in a row and ended the day with a loss of 144.90 points. It
was already into correction mode and it is intensifying, it is decisively below
all its short term and below few medium term moving averages on the daily chart,
it is making lower top & bottom on
the line & bar chart, it has broken its rising trend line today and most importantly all the five important
technical indicators are negative,
therefore all together it is highly concerning and pointing that it can further
go down from here in coming days. The short term chart setup and technical
indicators are extremely weak now but it is still in the long term uptrend and
it is buying on decline market in general but in light of on-going deep
correction it is now sell on the rise market. Furthermore in view of volatility,
negative technical indicators and deepening correction it is suggested to avoid
long trade till visible correction completion sign emerges because sometimes
correction gets ugly also as it is happening for the last two days and this may
continue in coming days also with in between short relief rallies and may seek much lower levels. So watch out for a
positive signal to initiate long trade.
Moving down from here its support points could be at 19372---19356---19327---19323----19303.60—19300----19296---19245----18887.60(figures
may change), it may bounce back from any of these points and resume
the up move again. It was already into correction mode and it is deepening and
break below each support point will weaken it further, break below 19303.60---19296
may trigger fresh fall and break below 19245 & 19234.40 will
get it into deep and long corrective mode and finally break below 18887.60
may accelerate the fall..
Moving up
from here it may face resistance at 19417----19461----19562----19570---19644----19653----19674----19727---19775---19830---19853---19925---19991.85---20160---20236---20390---20719 it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up move
again or rally can fizzle out also. Please note that 19461(figure may
change) is its pullback threshold point and if it closes above it and
sustain then it could give a up rally, else down move may continue. It will get
out of corrective mode if it closes above 19830 and sustains and then it
is expected to pick up good up momentum again.
IMPORTANT NOTE:-Long trade below 19252
& 19234 could be a risky bet for the day. Please note that as of now
technical Indicators are pointing towards moderate to sharp fall in coming days
and it can possibly hit the range of 19000---18650 on the downside. It is
suggested to avoid long trade for now.
TRADING TIPS:--
1. For safe traders it is suggested to avoid long trade till correction
completion sign emerges or if it closes above 19670. However, aggressive
traders can try long trade on decline near 19303 but not below it with a
stop loss of 19220. Please note that long trade could be a risky bet for
the day as correction is deepening.
2. It is in the strong uptrend therefore short trade in general could be a
risky affair but as it is into correction mode now, therefore short trade can
be attempted on the reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective
gains. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 19490----19520
with a stop loss of 19570 or if it moves below 19296 with a stop
loss of 19400 .
NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up
then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short
trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice
versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared
off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the
trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all
responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the
above view.
Kindly note that make your cost your
stop loss in favourable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated here are of spot
market.
m for
strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.