CNX-NIFTY
Open-17025.55--High—17142.35--Low-16960.05---Close-17123.60
on 12.10.2022.
Support:17006/16995/ 16894/16891.70/16888.70/16824.70/16793.85/16752.40/16701.95/16695/16627/16588/16565/16541/16490/16472/16410.20/16376.05/16275.50/16203.25/16172.60/16162.55/16133.57/15991/15986.42/15962.25/15914/15895/15775/15735.75/15671.45/15632.72/15578.55/15566/15513.45/15511.05/15450.90/15431.75/15367.50/15183.40.
Resistance: 17140/17291/ 17298/17345.20/17354.05/17387.15/17429.70/17484.30/17490.70/17530.85/17639.50
17759.30/17777.65/17797/17860/17920/17947.55/17992.70/18096.15/18112.60/18114.65/18217/18342.05/18350.95/18604.45—19329.
(Bold and underlined figures
are most important)
It opened on a
positive note and moved in a range for a while and in the late afternoon moved
up smartly and finally closed with a gain of 140.05 points. It moved above its pullback threshold points of 17024 & 17066(figure may Change) and
also above its long term moving average range of 17086—16794(figure will change every day), which is good sign and
as long as long as it holds the aforesaid pullback threshold points pullback
rally may extend further else it will drift down again, but to get back into
steady up grove again it has to move above its most important and critical
points of 17354---17387 & 17408.75
and sustain on the closing basis, else weakness may persist. It is important to
mention here that going down it will find very strong support from its long
term moving average range of 17086—16794(figure
will change every day) so it may bounce back from this range as it had done
earlier and today also but certain important technical indicators as of now
suggest that eventually it is going to break this range and if it does so then
fall may accelerate which may be kept in mind. However moving up from here it
will find stiff resistance at 17168----17196---17268---17333---17354---17387---17408.5. Similarly going down it may find good
support at 17024---17066---17086---16908---16883---16791---16640---16563---16487---16296---15870---15765.
Its short term
technical setup is still looking weak as it is below some of its short and medium
term
moving averages on the daily chart and some below weekly chart also, furthermore
out of four important technical indicators one has improved today but three are
still weak on the daily chart, which is concerning. Please note that if these
indicators do not improve fast it can drag it down further and it can improve
only if it gives good and sustained up move and if it fails to give sharp up
move in a shortest possible time say in next 1-2 trading sessions and move above its critical points of 17354---17387 & 17408.75 and
sustain on the closing basis then it may continue to drift down, chances of
sharp up rally is less likely at this point of time. So watch out. The
undertone is mixed but with a slight tilt towards downside as of now.
In view of the
above observation, it is into major correction mode but moved above its
pullback threshold points of 17024 &
17066 and also above its long term
moving average range of 17086—16791(figure
will change every day). So long trade can be attempted for pullback gain. For
safe traders it is suggested to try long trade if it moves above 17143 and maintain for some time with a
stop loss of 17080 and avoid buy on
decline for the day, but aggressive traders can try long trade if it holds the
range of 17102---17066 with a stop
loss of 16950 or can also try long
trade on decline near or within the
range of 16890-----16794 with a stop
loss of 16740, but mind you long
trade on decline and particularly below 16983
could be a risky affair for the day. Please note that in general long trade in
a corrective market for pullback gains could a risky affair because pullback
rallies are treacherous in nature and can end abruptly trapping the traders
unaware but it can be tried at the most critical and important points. Since it
is in major correction mode and short correction mode also therefore short
trade can also be tried on the rise near or within the range of 17290---17350 with a stop loss of 17435 or sell if it moves below 16980 with a stop loss of 17090.It is into major correction mode and
long term trend is also threatened. The bias is bearish as of now.
NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down
before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap
up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing
volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you
don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off
is strongly suggested in any case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
m for
strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.