CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open-38641.55-High-39315.70-Low-38518.30-Close-39093.10 on
10.10.2022.
Support: 38855.55/38765.55/38426.65/38377.35/38134/38112.75/37988.60/37708.75/37581.05/37471/37238/36993/36876.35/36718.80/36651.85/36497.35/36375.35/36332/36083.70/35985.25/35926/35810.90/35762/35585.20/35543.10/35511/35481.70.
Resistance: 39117.15/39197/39301.25/ 39424.85/39546.50/39895/40043/40160.20/40288.90/40453/40685.95/40881/41367.25/41829.60/41840.15/42696/44461/45525/45633.
(Bold and underlined figures
are most important)
It opened with a
down gap but filled the gap during the day and as envisaged it bounced back
from the pullback threshold point of 38399
& 38437 but ended the day with a loss of 84.95 points. It is already into major correction mode as it is
well below its threshold point of 39586.44
but today it closed shade above from its threshold point of 39084 for short correction mode for its
recent rise break below this will push it into short corrective mode. But please
note that as long as it holds its pullback threshold point of 38399 & 38437, chance of bounce
back will always be there. Kindly note that to get into the up grove again it
has to move above its most important and critical points of 39586.44 & 39895 and sustain on the
closing basis else it will oscillate in a broad range of 39586.44---38399 and sustained break below 38399 may witness further fall. Moving down from here it may find
good support at 39084---38760---38497----38437---38399---38235---38029---37911---37830,
similarly moving up it will find stiff resistance at 39532---39586.44---39614---39895---40039---40139---40665---40789---40819---40950.
It is important to
mention here that its long term moving averages are placed in the range of 37282—36324(figure will change every day),
break below 37282 will be an alert sign for the long term uptrend and sustained
break below 36324 may put the long
term uptrend in potential danger which may please be noted. Please
note that this range will act as a very strong support for it and it may bounce
back from this range also for couple of times as it bounced back near this area
sometimes back also but it is very much
likely to break this range eventually this is what technical indicators suggest
as of now. Please note that sustained break below the range may witness an accelerated
fall.
The short term
technical setup is slightly weak. It is already into major correction mode,
below some short & medium term moving averages on the daily chart and most
importantly a head & shoulder pattern is visible and if it gives sustained
break below its neckline of 37943 & 37386.15
then it may go down deeply and the maximum down side target could be 33500, similarly if it moves above 39759.15 the head & shoulder
pattern will fail this may be kept in mind. Furthermore all the four important
technical indicators are weak as of now, which is concerning. Please note that
if these indicators do not improve fast it can drag it down further and it can
improve only if it gives good and sustained up move. Please note that if it
fails to give sharp up move in a shortest possible time say in next 3-4 trading sessions and move above its
critical points of 39895 and sustain
then it may start to drift down again. The undertone is mixed but with slightly
bearish tilt as of now.
In view of the above observation, it
is into major correction mode but at the same time well above the pullback
threshold points of 38399 & 38437 also.
Therefore both side trades can be tried depending on the price movement till it
breaches 38399 levels. For safe
traders long trade can be tried if it moves above 39285 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 39020 or on decline near 38400 with a stop loss of 38275, but aggressive traders can also
try long trade on decline near 38030 with
a stop loss of 37920. Please note
that in general long trade in a corrective market for pullback gains could a
risky affair because pullback rallies are treacherous in nature and can end
abruptly trapping the traders unaware but it can be tried at the most critical
points. Similarly short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range
of 39600---39700 with a stop loss of
39950 or sell if it moves below 39084 with a stop loss of 39320 or sell below 38400 with a stop loss of 38650.It
is into major correction mode but long term trend still seems to be o.k.as of
now.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down
before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap
up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing
volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you
don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off
is strongly suggested in any case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
m for
strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.