CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open-38552.70-High-39120.80-Low-38552.20-Close-39038.50
on 24.8.2022.
Support:38855.55/38765.55/38426.65/38377.35/38134/38112.75/37988.60/37708.75/37581.05/37471/37238/36993/36876.35/36718.80/36651.85/36497.35/36375.35/36332/36083.70/35985.25/35926/35810.90/35762/35585.20/35543.10/35511/35481.70.
Resistance:39117.15/39197/39424.85/39546.50/39895/40160.20/41367.25/41829.60.
(Bold and underlined figures
are most important)
It opened on a negative note and then
recovered and finally closed with a good gain of 340.85 points. It is in corrective mode and last two days rise was just a pullback up move which can
possibly exhaust at these points 39069---39332--39398
or earlier also and most importantly close below 38297.75 will confirm the end of the pullback up move, but if it
moves above 39398 then it may gain
some strength. However to resume the strong uptrend again it has to move above its
critical resistance points of 39547—39656.15---
39759.15---39895 and sustain on the closing basis then it may be back on
the up track again, else down move will continue with intermittent relief
rallies. Moving down its key support points would be at Moving down its
key support points would be at 38930.66----38844---38297.75---38134---37996.56---37755.55---37754.65----37594.15---37491---36993---36830---36640. Please note that it already into very short
correction mode as it is below its threshold point of 39166.87, sustained break below 38930.66 & 38844 will weaken it further and close below 38297.75 may end the pullback up move,
sustained break below the range of 37996.56---37755.55---37754.65----37594.15---37491 on the closing basis may jeopardize the on-going
uptrend and finally sustained break below 36600 may accelerate the fall.
The overall technical setup is still
o.k. because it is still making, higher top & bottom on the line and the
bar chart and it has also bounced back above its all short term averages which
is a positive sign. But almost all except for one important technical
indicators are showing distinct weakness on the daily chart, therefore if it
does not bounce back sharply and move above its critical points in a shortest
possible time then the fall looks inevitable and it may go down sharply with in
between short relief rallies. Therefore it is suggested to avoid long trade
till it moves its recent top of 39656.15(on
the line chart) and then above its last critical point of 39895 on the closing basis. Please note
that after the key upward reversal on 19.8.2022
the on-going uptrend seems to be in potential danger, therefore buy on dip
strategy should be put on hold for safe traders till clarity on the
continuation of the uptrend emerges.
In view of the above observation for
safe traders long trade can only be tried once it closes above 39895
and sustain avoid buy on decline for the day. However highly aggressive traders
can try long trade if it moves above 39121
and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 38950 or can buy on decline at appropriate points or near 38300 but not below it
with a stop loss of 38100. But I
would suggest avoiding long trade on the decline for the day. Although it is in
the uptrend but into corrective mode now therefore short trade can also be
attempted after a reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for corrective
gains. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 39380---39480 but
not above it with a stop loss of 39570 or sell
if it moves below 38297 with
a stop loss of 38475. Please
note that long trade could be a risky affair for the day as it is in a
corrective mode but short trade may not be that risky bet now therefore worth
trying at this juncture. The short term is in corrective mode, medium and long
term trend is still positive as of now, but since it is into corrective mode
therefore it has to be seen how correction culminates.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
m for
strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.