Friday, 8 May 2020

A BROAD TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR THE WEEK STARTING FROM---11.5.2020


CNX-NIFTY

Open-9376.95--High-9382.65—Low-9238.20—Close-9251.50 on 8.5.2020

Support:9238/9200/9199.05/9141/9116.50/9090/9038.90/9000/8967.23/8900/8860/8842.28/8801.14/8672.07/8617/8555/.


Resistance:9270.90/9299/9327.85/9390.31/9468.75/9685.55/9687.55.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)                                                                       
It opened with a huge up gap at 9376.95 and made a high of 9382.65 but could not sustain at higher level and in the afternoon plunged down and made a low of 9238.20 and ended the day near the low at 9251.50 but up by 52.45 points over previous days close . Please note that it filled the gap during the day.  

Technically it shows weakness  as it has started making lower top & bottom after a long time, it has also broken most of its short and medium term averages on the daily and weekly chart except for some and most importantly it is well below its long term moving averages on the daily & weekly chart. Therefore it is expected to go down for sure in coming days but it will gather  momentum if it sustains below 9200.

Kindly note that moving up it will face stiff resistance from its most important and crucial points at 9270.90---9327.85---9390.31 but sustained close above 9390.31 could take it higher, which may please be noted. But looking at the overall technical setup the upside seem to be capped at 9390.31 as of now, therefore long trade should be completely avoided till it moves above 9390.31 and sustain on the closing basis. So, short trade on the rise or on the price breakdown should be the best option as of now,but be alert in short trade if it closes above 9390.31.

Moving down it will find good support in the range of 9090---9038 and then 8909—8801---8672 and sustained break below 9038 on the closing basis will further accelerate the fall. It is important to mention here that sustained close below 8672 will indicate that it could retest or break the bottom of 7511.10 it made on 24.3.2020 in coming days/weeks.

TRADING STARTAGY      

1. Sell on the rise in the range of 9270---9327.85---9390.31 ---9430
    with a stop loss of above 9475. Kindly note that the self defined short      
    stop losses can be applied by the traders, but the authentic stop loss
    would be 9475 only.     

Or
Can sell at C.M.P also but the stop loss would be 9475 only as of now.
Or
   Sell below 9116 with a stop loss of above 9150.

Remark: - The long term trend is down. Since it has made lower top & bottom the down move should accelerate now. In view of the above observation long trade is a complete avoid till it closes above 9390.31 and sustain. Only short trade should be attempted as suggested above. The long term bias is bearish.    

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.


A BROAD TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY FOR THE WEEK STARTING FROM- 11.5.2020


CNX--BANK NIFTY


Open-19844--High-19969.60--Low-19283.05—Close-19352.90 on 8.5.2020

Support:19271.75/19200.08/19051.95/18860/18703.45/18300/18100/17854/17340/17248.42/17143.20/16946/16759/16587/16193/16116.25.

Resistance:19655/19769/19881/19934/20010/20250/20514.75/20586.22/21122.10/21348.15/21462.40.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It opened with an up gap at 19844 and made a high of 19969.60 but could not sustain at higher level and in the afternoon plunged down and made a low of 19285.05 and ended the day near the low at 19352.90 with a loss of 138.90 points. Please note that it filled the gap during the day. 

Technically it shows terrible weakness. It has broken all its short, medium and long term moving averages decisively on the daily and weekly chart. It has made lower top also at 19694.55, but yet to break the recent bottom of 19271.75, therefore a close below 19271.75 is required to confirm that it is making lower top & bottom and for down move to gather momentum. Please note that till it happens there is a possibility that it could moving up again and if it closes above 19694.55 and then above 20010 and sustain then it may resume the up momentum again. But looking at the overall technical setup the upside seem to be capped in the range of 20010---20250 as of now, therefore long trade should be completely avoided till it moves above 20010 and sustain on the closing basis. So, short trade on the rise or on the price breakdown should be the best option as of now.

Moving down it will find good support in the range of 18941--- 18859---17854---18703---18309---18100---17850---17286.40---17143. It is pertinent to mention here that it has been closing below its critical & important point of 20010 for last five days and if it sustain below it for few more days then it could retest or break its recent bottom of 16116.25 made on 24.3.2020 in coming days.

TRADING STARTAGY      

1. Sell on the rise in the range of 19850---20010---20300 with a stop    loss of above 20400. Kindly note that the self defined stop losses can be applied by the traders but the authentic stop loss would be 20400 only.
                                                           Or
  Sell below 19270 with a stop loss of above 19400. This is a short
  stop loss and possibly it could be triggered one or two times, but  
  one has to initiate short position again below 19270 for the
  day.
Or
 Sell below 18850 with a stop loss of above 19055.
    
Remark: - The long term trend is down. The pullback rally has exhausted and the upside seems to be capped in the range as mentioned above.  But a close below 19271.75 is important to establish lower top and bottom for the fall to accelerate. In view of the above observation long trade is a complete avoid till it moves above 20010 and sustain on the closing basis. Only short trade should be attempted as suggested above. The long term bias is bearish.    
  
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.



Thursday, 7 May 2020

INTRA-DAY TRADING CALLS FOR 8.5.2020


TRADING CALLS


1. ADANI PORT.
Sell near but below -292, S/L-298, Target-279/269/261.

2. AXIS BANK.
Sell near but below -409, S/L-413, Target-400/386/370.
     
3. HDFC BANK.
 Sell below-921, S/L-928, Target-905/886/870.

4. HCL TECH.
Sell below -506, S/L-513, Target-496/482/469.                                     

5. HINDALCO.
Sell below-116.70, S/L-118.50, Target-113.50/111.70/105.30/103.80.

6. ICICI BANK.
Sell below-336, S/L-340, Target-323/315/303.

7. ITC LTD.
Sell below -160.50, S/L-162, Target-157/150/146.  

8. MARUTI SUZUKI.
Sell below-4735, S/L-4760, Target-4702/4652/4613.

9. L&T.
Sell below-817, S/L, 825, Target-807/785/776.

10. TITAN.
Sell below-855, S/L, 860 Target-847/841/826/816/800.
                          
                                
Note: Price stated here is of spot market.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

 Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit the trade

   

                     
  

                    
                             



A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR -8.5.2020


CNX-NIFTY

Open-9234.05--High-9277.85—Low-9175.90—Close-9199.05 on 7.5.2020

Support:9180/9141/9116.50/9090/9038.90/9000/8967.23/8900/8860/8842.28/8801.14/8672.07/8617/8555/.


Resistance:9270.90/9299/9327.85/9390.31/9468.75/9685.55/9687.55.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)                                                                       
It closed below the previous day’s close today, hence it has made lower top at 9270.90 and also broken recent bottom of 9205.60 after a long time and closed at 9199.05, so made a lower bottom also. It thereby confirms that now the down move should gather momentum. But it is important to mention here that now a close above 9270.90 and then above 9327.85 & 9390.31 could again reverse this process and it may start moving up again. Therefore one should be alert in short trade if it closes above 9270.90&9327.85 and sustain, but one should think of long trade only if it closes above 9390.31 and sustain. So, short trade on the rise and on price breakdown would be the best option as of now.

Moving down it will find good support in the range of 9090---9038 and then 8909—8801---8672, please note that sustained break below 9038 on the closing basis will further accelerate the fall.

TRADING STARTAGY      

1. Sell on the rise in the range of 9270---9327.85---9390.31 but not  
    above 9390.31 with a stop loss of above 9430. Kindly note that the   
    self defined stop losses can be applied by the traders but the authentic
    stop loss would  be 9430 only.

Or
    Sell below 9175 with a stop loss of above 9260. This is a short stop
    loss It could be triggered but one has to maintain short position again
    below 9175  for the day.

Remark: - The long term trend is down. Since it has made lower top & bottom the down move should accelerate now. In view of the above observation long trade is a complete avoid till it closes above 9390.31 and sustain. Only short trade should be attempted as suggested above. The long term bias is bearish.    

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.



A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY FOR- 8.5.2020


CNX--BANK NIFTY

Open-19536.05--High-19757.25--Low-19332.15—Close-19491.80 on 7.5.2020

Support:19271.75/19200.08/19051.95/18860/18703.45/18300/18100/17854/17340/17248.42/17143.20/16946/16759/16587/16193/16116.25.

Resistance:19655/19769/19847.65/19881/19934/20010/20220/20514.75/20586.22/21122.10/21348.15/21462.40.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It closed below its previous day’s close today i.e. at 19491.80; hence it has made a lower top at 19694.55 ,  but it is yet to break the recent bottom of 19271.75 , therefore a close below 19271.75 is required to confirm that it is making lower top & bottom and for down move to gather momentum. Please note that till it happens there is a reasonable possibility that it could start moving up again and if it closes above 19694.55 and then above 20010 and sustain then it may resume the up momentum again. The overall technical parameters are weak; therefore long trade should be avoided now and only be tried if it closes above 20010 and sustain. So, short trade on the rise and on price breakdown would be the best option as of now.

 Moving down it will find good support in the range of 18860--- 18703---18309---18100---17850---17286.40---17143. It is very important to mention here that it has been closing below its critical & important point of 20010 for last four days and if it sustain below it for few more days then it could retest or break its recent bottom of 16116.25 made on 24.3.2020 in coming days.

TRADING STARTAGY      

1. Sell on the rise in the range of 19850---20010---20300 with a stop    loss of above 20400. Kindly note that the self defined stop losses can be applied by the traders but the authentic stop loss would be 20400 only.

Or
Sell near but below 19850 with a stop loss of above 20010.

Remark: - The long term trend is down. It is almost confirmed that the pullback rally has exhausted and down move has begun but a close below 19271.75 is important as of now for the fall to accelerate. In view of the above observation long trade is a complete avoid till it closes above 20010 and sustain. Only short trade should be attempted as suggested above. The long term bias is bearish.    
  
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.




A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY- 7.5.2020


CNX--BANK NIFTY

Open-19302.45--High-19806.60--Low-18941—Close-19694.55 on 6.5.2020

Support:19586/19200.08/19051.95/18864/18703.45/18309/18100/17854/17340/17248.42/17143.20/16946/16759/16587/16193/16116.25.

Resistance:19769/19847.65/20010/20220/20514.75/20586.22/21122.10/21348.15/21462.40.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)   

 It opened on a flat to positive note today at 19302.45 and went down to make a low of 18941 then it bounced back and made a high of 19806.60 and closed above the previous day’s close at 19694.55.
                                                                   
 It is on an extreme weak footing technically, as it is well below its short, medium and long term moving averages on the daily and weekly chart; furthermore it has broken its previous bottom of 19586.65 & 19409.35 on the line chart and bottom of 19051.95 on the bar chart. So it seems that the pullback rally top is almost confirmed at 21967 but to accelerate the fall it needs to close below 19271.75 as of now. Short term bias is also bearish therefore long trade should be completely avoided and sell on the rise strategy should be adopted.

Moving down it will find good support in the range of 18864--- 18703---18309---18100---17850---17286.40---17143. It is very important to mention here that it has been giving whip saw around its critical level of 20010 but closed below it for last three days and if it sustain below it for another 2-3 days then it could retest or break its recent bottom of 16116.25 made on 24.3.2020 in coming days. Similarly a sustained close above 20010 for few days would show some strength for up move else it is terribly weak.  

TRADING STARTAGY      

1. Sell on the rise in the range of 19850---20010---20300 with a stop    loss of above 20450. Kindly note that the self defined stop losses can be applied by the traders but the authentic stop loss would be 20450 only.

Or
Sell below 19850 with a stop loss of above 20010.

Remark: - The long term trend is down. It is almost confirmed that the pullback rally has exhausted and down move has begun but a close below 19271.75 is important as of now to accelerate the fall. In view of the above observation long trade is a complete avoid till it closes above 20010 and sustain. Only short trade should be attempted as suggested above. The long term bias is bearish.    
  
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.