CNX-NIFTY
Closed at 7963.20 on 1-1-2016(Open-7938.45/High-7972.55/Low-7909.80)
Support:-7960/ 7946.35/7940/7938.457889.85/7852.90/7840/7817/7723.85/7714.15/7691.20/7678/7667/7575.30/7539.50/7422/7311/7295/7119
Resistance:-7979.30/7997/8055/ 8065/8091.20/8116.10/8244.
The up momentum is still on and its
short term technical setup is good, it is also making higher tops and bottoms
on the line chart and its recent bottom is at 7896.25,its short double bottom
on the bar chart is at 7889 and it is running above its all short term moving
averages .Furthermore its alert or
benchmark point for long trade for the entire year of 2016 are 7946.35 &
7938.45 and exit point is below 7889 and it is above these points now which is
a good sign. But it is important to note that it is very near to its
previous top of 7979.30 which it made on 2-12-2015, furthermore moving up it will face very stiff resistance in the range of 7979.30—8117
from its various tops and bottoms ,some long term moving averages and most
importantly from the neckline of the Head & Shoulder pattern on the weekly
chart which is between 8090—8100( it moves up every week) for this week, so the
up journey may not be smooth but the bias is on the upside as long as it hold
7889 level on the closing basis. I once again repeat that long call should be
avoided below the above mentioned alert point of 7946.35 & 7938.45 in the
year 2016 and long trade should be exited below 7889 for sure.
It is important to mention here that it will
encounter huge resistance from its long term moving averages which are in the
range of 8019—8250(it changes) for now and it will regain smooth up momentum only
above this range which may be kept in mind.
For 4-1-2016 long trade can be tried
on the dip but not below 7938 with a stop loss of below 7889, or try if it
moves and sustain above 7980 with a stop loss of below 7930 for added position.
Please note that if it fails to cross and sustain its previous top of 7979.30
it can slide from here, so it would be safe to try long call if it moves and
sustain above 7980.
Remark:-The long term
trend is down. Since its technical setup is looking good on the daily chart
long call can be tried as suggested above, but in view of the tough resistance
range ahead long trade should be handled with extreme caution and care. It is
advised to avoid long call below the alert points 7946.35 & 7938.45 for
sure in the year -2016.
Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable
trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and
avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and
trailing stop loss points. DO
NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed
here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for
the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Note:
Price stated here is of spot market.
Contact me for
strategic guidance to enter and exit the trade.


